La escuela de los momios

Aberdeen v Hibernian

Inicio: 2026-04-11 14:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Aberdeen (Local)

Predicción 29.28%3.42momio equitativo
EV -0.441%
Ventaja -0.130%
Kelly -0.184%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.44%29.18%29.35%30.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.923.183.203.4034.25%31.46%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hibernian (Visitante)

Predicción 42.94%2.33momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -2.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.53%43.11%42.90%46.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.37%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.78%3.60momio equitativo
EV -0.007%
Ventaja -0.002%
Kelly -0.003%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.91%27.71%27.75%28.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.373.353.6032.26%29.70%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -0.441%E -0.130%K -0.184%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -14.12%E -7.06%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:01
Pinnacle3.33I 30.03%NM 29.04%EV -2.49%E -0.748%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.17%EV -3.81%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.79%EV -3.34%E -0.960%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 13:59
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:58
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:00
1xBet3.26I 30.67%NM 29.43%EV -4.54%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.84%EV -3.81%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -3.90%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -6.82%E -3.14%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 13:59
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 14:00
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 14:01
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 14:01
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:01
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:00
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -8.90%E -2.71%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:00
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 14:00
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 14:01
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.25%E -3.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.25%E -3.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 14:01
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.25%E -3.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 14:01
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.25%E -3.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:59
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:59
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -8.10%E -3.79%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -8.10%E -3.79%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 14:01
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -8.10%E -3.79%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 14:01
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -8.10%E -3.79%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 14:01
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:59
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:59
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 14:00
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 14:00
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.31%EV -8.10%E -3.79%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:58
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -8.96%E -4.23%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 14:00
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 14:00
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -8.64%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 13:59
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 14:00
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 14:00
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 14:00
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:59
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:59
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:59
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 14:00
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 14:00
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -10.69%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.37%EV -8.10%E -3.79%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -10.69%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -11.97%E -5.84%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 13:59
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 29.52%EV -14.50%E -4.96%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 42.67%EV -13.26%E -6.56%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.81%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 13:58
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.05%1.8%2026-04-11 14:01
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.76%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.3%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%2.4%2026-04-11 14:01
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 30.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.87%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%5.0%2026-04-11 14:01