L’École des cotes

Aberdeen v Hibernian

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 14:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aberdeen (Local)

Prévision 29.28%3.42cote équitable
EV -0.441%
Avantage -0.130%
Kelly -0.184%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.44%29.18%29.35%30.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.923.183.203.4034.25%31.46%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hibernian (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.94%2.33cote équitable
EV -3.38%
Avantage -1.50%
Kelly -2.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.53%43.11%42.90%46.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.37%46.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.78%3.60cote équitable
EV -0.007%
Avantage -0.002%
Kelly -0.003%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.91%27.71%27.75%28.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.373.353.6032.26%29.70%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -0.441%E -0.130%K -0.184%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -14.12%E -7.06%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:01
Pinnacle3.33I 30.03%NM 29.04%EV -2.49%E -0.748%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.17%EV -3.81%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.79%EV -3.34%E -0.960%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 13:59
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 13:58
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -3.37%E -1.02%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:00
1xBet3.26I 30.67%NM 29.43%EV -4.54%E -1.39%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.84%EV -3.81%E -1.70%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.73%EV -3.90%E -1.13%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.04%EV -6.82%E -3.14%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 13:59
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 14:00
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 14:01
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 14:01
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:01
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 14:00
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -8.90%E -2.71%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:00
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 14:00
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 14:01
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.25%E -3.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.25%E -3.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 14:01
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.25%E -3.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 14:01
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.25%E -3.35%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 14:00
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.66%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:59
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 13:59
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -8.10%E -3.79%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -8.10%E -3.79%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 14:01
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -8.10%E -3.79%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 14:01
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.51%EV -8.10%E -3.79%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 14:01
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -2.78%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 13:59
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 13:59
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 14:00
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 14:00
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.43%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.31%EV -8.10%E -3.79%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 13:58
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -7.67%E -3.57%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -8.96%E -4.23%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 14:00
LowVig.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 14:00
BetOnline.ag3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -6.39%E -2.93%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.12%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -8.64%E -2.77%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 13:59
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -3.38%E -1.50%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 14:00
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 14:00
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 14:00
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:59
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:59
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.53%E -2.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:59
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 14:00
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 14:00
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 14:00
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.82%E -4.68%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -10.69%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.37%EV -8.10%E -3.79%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -10.69%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -11.97%E -5.84%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-11 13:59
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 29.52%EV -14.50%E -4.96%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 42.67%EV -13.26%E -6.56%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.81%EV -13.89%E -4.48%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-11 13:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-04-11 14:00
Matchbook3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.05%1.8%2026-04-11 14:01
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.76%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.89%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.3%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%2.4%2026-04-11 14:01
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 30.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.87%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%5.0%2026-04-11 14:01