Language:English
Aberdeen v Dundee United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aberdeen (Local)
Prediction 44.04%2.27fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.20%44.11%43.96%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.102.122.2051.28%47.52%47.28%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dundee United (Visit)
Prediction 28.12%3.56fair odd
EV -0.746%
Edge -0.211%
Kelly -0.295%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.43%28.13%28.15%29.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.293.253.5332.26%30.38%30.77%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.84%3.59fair odd
EV +0.222%
Edge +0.062%
Kelly +0.085%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.41%27.77%27.89%28.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.403.6032.26%29.52%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aberdeen (Local): 44.04%; Dundee United (Visit): 28.12%; Draw: 27.84%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.222%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.58%EV -5.75%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV +0.222%E +0.062%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.58%EV -5.75%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV +0.222%E +0.062%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -1.17%E -0.329%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -1.17%E -0.329%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -1.17%E -0.329%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -1.17%E -0.329%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -8.39%E -4.03%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.75%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.58%EV -2.15%E -0.618%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.58%EV -3.12%E -0.896%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.57%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.40%EV -0.746%E -0.211%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.51%EV -8.83%E -4.27%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -10.15%E -4.98%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -11.43%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -10.15%E -4.98%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -11.43%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -10.15%E -4.98%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -11.43%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -3.00%E -0.868%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -11.43%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.91%E -5.96%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -7.07%E -3.35%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -5.53%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.57%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -1.59%E -0.454%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -8.83%E -4.27%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 13:56 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -8.83%E -4.27%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -11.91%E -5.96%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -11.91%E -5.96%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -11.43%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -5.75%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -5.75%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -1.59%E -0.454%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -1.59%E -0.454%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.29%EV -14.12%E -7.24%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -13.70%E -4.42%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |