L’École des cotes

Aberdeen v Dundee United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 14:02 UTC

Score final : Aberdeen 2–0 Dundee United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aberdeen (Local)

Prévision 44.04%2.27cote équitable
EV -3.11%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -2.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.20%44.11%43.96%45.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.102.122.2051.28%47.52%47.28%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dundee United (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.12%3.56cote équitable
EV -0.746%
Avantage -0.211%
Kelly -0.295%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.43%28.13%28.15%29.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.293.253.5332.26%30.38%30.77%28.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.84%3.59cote équitable
EV +0.222%
Avantage +0.062%
Kelly +0.085%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.41%27.77%27.89%28.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.393.403.6032.26%29.52%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.58%EV -5.75%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV +0.222%E +0.062%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.58%EV -5.75%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV +0.222%E +0.062%K +0.085%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -1.17%E -0.329%K -0.459%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -1.17%E -0.329%K -0.459%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 14:00
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -1.17%E -0.329%K -0.459%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -1.17%E -0.329%K -0.459%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 14:00
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 13:59
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 14:00
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 13:58
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:00
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:00
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:00
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 14:00
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -8.39%E -4.03%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 13:49
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.75%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.58%EV -2.15%E -0.618%K -0.868%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.58%EV -3.12%E -0.896%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.57%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.40%EV -0.746%E -0.211%K -0.295%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.51%EV -8.83%E -4.27%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 14:00
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -10.15%E -4.98%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -11.43%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -10.15%E -4.98%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -11.43%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 13:59
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -10.15%E -4.98%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -11.43%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-09 14:00
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -3.00%E -0.868%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:59
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 14:00
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 13:59
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -11.43%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 13:59
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.91%E -5.96%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 13:59
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -7.07%E -3.35%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -5.53%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.57%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 13:59
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 13:59
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 13:59
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:59
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -1.59%E -0.454%K -0.636%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 13:58
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 14:00
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -8.83%E -4.27%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 13:56
BetUS2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -8.83%E -4.27%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 13:59
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -11.91%E -5.96%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 13:59
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -11.91%E -5.96%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -11.43%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-09 13:59
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -5.75%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -5.75%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:59
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:59
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:59
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 13:59
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -1.59%E -0.454%K -0.636%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:59
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -1.59%E -0.454%K -0.636%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 13:59
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 14:00
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.29%EV -14.12%E -7.24%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -13.70%E -4.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.8%2026-05-09 13:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.8%2026-05-09 14:00
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-05-09 14:00