La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Aberdeen v Dundee United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aberdeen (Local)
Predicción 44.04%2.27momio equitativo
EV -3.11%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -2.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.20%44.11%43.96%45.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.102.122.2051.28%47.52%47.28%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Dundee United (Visitante)
Predicción 28.12%3.56momio equitativo
EV -0.746%
Ventaja -0.211%
Kelly -0.295%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.43%28.13%28.15%29.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.293.253.5332.26%30.38%30.77%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.84%3.59momio equitativo
EV +0.222%
Ventaja +0.062%
Kelly +0.085%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.41%27.77%27.89%28.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.393.403.6032.26%29.52%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.58%EV -5.75%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV +0.222%E +0.062%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.58%EV -5.75%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV +0.222%E +0.062%K +0.085%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -1.17%E -0.329%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -1.17%E -0.329%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -1.17%E -0.329%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.45%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -1.17%E -0.329%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -8.39%E -4.03%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -2.56%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 13:49 |
| 1xBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.75%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.58%EV -2.15%E -0.618%K -0.868%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.58%EV -3.12%E -0.896%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.57%EV -4.43%E -2.04%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.40%EV -0.746%E -0.211%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.51%EV -8.83%E -4.27%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -10.15%E -4.98%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -11.43%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -10.15%E -4.98%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -11.43%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.66%EV -10.15%E -4.98%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -11.43%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -3.95%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.92%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -3.00%E -0.868%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -11.43%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.91%E -5.96%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -5.35%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -6.74%E -2.01%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -7.07%E -3.35%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -5.53%E -1.64%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -7.57%E -2.28%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -1.59%E -0.454%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 13:58 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -8.62%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Bovada | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -8.83%E -4.27%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 13:56 |
| BetUS | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.54%EV -8.83%E -4.27%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -5.81%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -11.91%E -5.96%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.02%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -11.91%E -5.96%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -11.43%E -3.63%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.13%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -5.75%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -5.75%E -2.69%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -4.40%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -1.59%E -0.454%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -9.71%E -4.74%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -1.59%E -0.454%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.52%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.51%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.21%E -2.19%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.29%EV -14.12%E -7.24%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -12.84%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -13.70%E -4.42%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 13:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-05-09 14:00 |