Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aberdeen v Dundee FC

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aberdeen (Local)

Prediction 47.84%2.09fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -3.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.65%47.88%47.94%49.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.941.952.0258.14%51.46%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dundee FC (Visit)

Prediction 25.69%3.89fair odd
EV -0.562%
Edge -0.145%
Kelly -0.196%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.72%25.70%25.65%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.643.623.8729.85%27.45%27.62%25.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.47%3.78fair odd
EV +0.049%
Edge +0.013%
Kelly +0.018%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.22%26.42%26.42%27.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.493.503.7831.75%28.62%28.57%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aberdeen (Local): 47.84%; Dundee FC (Visit): 25.69%; Draw: 26.47%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.778. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.780, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.049%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.03%EV -5.76%E -2.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -2.36%E -0.621%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.55%EV +0.049%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.31%EV -7.20%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.18%EV -2.36%E -0.621%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -0.745%E -0.199%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.36%E -0.621%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -0.745%E -0.199%K -0.271%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 14:40
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.07%E -0.559%K -0.766%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:50
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:15
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:35
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:45
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -2.36%E -0.621%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:49
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:29
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -10.07%E -5.35%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -6.22%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.11%E -4.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 14:55
BetUS🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.11%E -4.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 14:55
1xBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.27%EV -4.80%E -2.41%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.82%EV -0.562%E -0.145%K -0.196%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91%EV -5.51%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 14:45
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.15%E -4.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:35
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.15%E -4.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -6.99%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:55
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.37%E -1.67%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -2.36%E -0.621%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -2.36%E -0.621%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 14:15
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.28%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:30
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:10
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:50
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -5.28%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:15
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -9.11%E -4.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:50
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:35
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.11%E -4.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:35
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.54%E -5.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-21 14:34
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -5.76%E -2.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -5.76%E -2.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -5.76%E -2.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:25
LeoVegas🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -5.76%E -2.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:15
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:16
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 13:00
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -5.28%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -6.22%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:50
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:25
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:25
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:25
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -7.20%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -7.20%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -7.67%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -6.22%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -8.15%E -4.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -8.15%E -4.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:25
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -9.59%E -5.07%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-21 14:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.41%EV -12.46%E -6.81%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.90%EV -13.92%E -4.16%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-21 14:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 48.56%EV -17.72%E -10.30%K -24.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.93%EV -13.92%E -4.16%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.51%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.73%G +0.000%19.7%2026-02-21 14:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.86%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23%0.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-02-21 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-02-21 14:50