L’École des cotes

Aberdeen v Dundee FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aberdeen (Local)

Prévision 47.84%2.09cote équitable
EV -3.37%
Avantage -1.67%
Kelly -3.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.65%47.88%47.94%49.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.941.952.0258.14%51.46%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dundee FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.69%3.89cote équitable
EV -0.562%
Avantage -0.145%
Kelly -0.196%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.72%25.70%25.65%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.643.623.8729.85%27.45%27.62%25.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.47%3.78cote équitable
EV +0.049%
Avantage +0.013%
Kelly +0.018%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.22%26.42%26.42%27.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.493.503.7831.75%28.62%28.57%26.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.03%EV -5.76%E -2.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -2.36%E -0.621%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.55%EV +0.049%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 14:40
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.31%EV -7.20%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.18%EV -2.36%E -0.621%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -0.745%E -0.199%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.36%E -0.621%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -0.745%E -0.199%K -0.271%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 14:40
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.07%E -0.559%K -0.766%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:50
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:15
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:35
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:45
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -2.36%E -0.621%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:49
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:29
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -10.07%E -5.35%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -6.22%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.11%E -4.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 14:55
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.11%E -4.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 14:55
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.27%EV -4.80%E -2.41%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.82%EV -0.562%E -0.145%K -0.196%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91%EV -5.51%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 14:45
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.15%E -4.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:35
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.15%E -4.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:35
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -6.99%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:55
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.37%E -1.67%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 13:00
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -2.36%E -0.621%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 14:25
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -2.36%E -0.621%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 14:25
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 14:15
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:34
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.28%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:30
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:10
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:50
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -5.28%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:15
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -9.11%E -4.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:35
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.11%E -4.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:35
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.54%E -5.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-21 14:34
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -5.76%E -2.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -5.76%E -2.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:25
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -5.76%E -2.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:25
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -5.76%E -2.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:15
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:16
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 13:00
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -5.28%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -6.22%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:50
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:25
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:25
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:25
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:25
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -7.20%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:25
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -7.20%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -7.67%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -6.22%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:25
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -8.15%E -4.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:25
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -8.15%E -4.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -9.59%E -5.07%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-21 14:35
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.41%EV -12.46%E -6.81%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.90%EV -13.92%E -4.16%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-21 14:40
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.56%EV -17.72%E -10.30%K -24.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.93%EV -13.92%E -4.16%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.51%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.73%G +0.000%19.7%2026-02-21 14:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.86%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23%0.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-02-21 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-02-21 14:50