La escuela de los momios

Aberdeen v Dundee FC

Inicio: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Aberdeen (Local)

Predicción 47.84%2.09momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -1.67%
Kelly -3.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.65%47.88%47.94%49.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.941.952.0258.14%51.46%51.28%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dundee FC (Visitante)

Predicción 25.69%3.89momio equitativo
EV -0.562%
Ventaja -0.145%
Kelly -0.196%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.72%25.70%25.65%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.643.623.8729.85%27.45%27.62%25.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.47%3.78momio equitativo
EV +0.049%
Ventaja +0.013%
Kelly +0.018%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.22%26.42%26.42%27.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.493.503.7831.75%28.62%28.57%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 49.03%EV -5.76%E -2.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -2.36%E -0.621%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.55%EV +0.049%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 14:40
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 49.31%EV -7.20%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.18%EV -2.36%E -0.621%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -0.745%E -0.199%K -0.271%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 14:55
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.36%E -0.621%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -0.745%E -0.199%K -0.271%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 14:40
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -2.07%E -0.559%K -0.766%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:50
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:15
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:35
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:45
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -2.36%E -0.621%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:49
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:29
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -10.07%E -5.35%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -6.22%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Bovada1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.11%E -4.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 14:55
BetUS1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -9.11%E -4.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.71%E -1.31%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 14:55
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 48.27%EV -4.80%E -2.41%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.82%EV -0.562%E -0.145%K -0.196%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.91%EV -5.51%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 14:45
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.15%E -4.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:35
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -8.15%E -4.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.04%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:35
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -6.99%E -1.93%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:55
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.37%E -1.67%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 13:00
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -2.36%E -0.621%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 14:25
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -2.36%E -0.621%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 14:25
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 14:15
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:34
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -5.28%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:30
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:10
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:50
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -5.28%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:15
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -9.11%E -4.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:35
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.63%E -4.52%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-21 14:55
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.11%E -4.79%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 14:35
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.54%E -5.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.07%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.36%E -2.10%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-21 14:34
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -5.76%E -2.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -5.76%E -2.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:25
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -5.76%E -2.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:25
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 47.70%EV -5.76%E -2.92%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -3.65%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.24%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:15
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:16
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -4.33%E -2.16%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 13:00
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -5.28%E -2.67%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -6.22%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:50
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:25
TABtouch1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:25
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:25
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -6.72%E -3.44%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:25
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -7.20%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -4.93%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 14:25
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -7.20%E -3.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.01%E -2.94%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -7.67%E -3.98%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -6.22%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:25
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -8.15%E -4.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:25
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -8.15%E -4.25%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -7.50%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.35%EV -9.59%E -5.07%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.71%EV -11.33%E -3.38%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-21 14:35
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.41%EV -12.46%E -6.81%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.90%EV -13.92%E -4.16%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -13.98%E -4.30%K -6.21%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-21 14:40
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.56%EV -17.72%E -10.30%K -24.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.93%EV -13.92%E -4.16%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.51%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.73%G +0.000%19.7%2026-02-21 14:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.86%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.23%0.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-02-21 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-02-21 14:50