La scuola delle quote

Zaragoza v Sporting Gijón

Inizio: 2026-05-17 19:15 UTC

Finale: Zaragoza 1–3 Sporting Gijón

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Zaragoza (Casa)

Previsione 49.73%2.01quota equa
EV -2.03%
Vantaggio -1.03%
Kelly -2.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.10%49.77%49.63%51.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.831.831.9758.48%54.67%54.64%50.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sporting Gijón (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.44%4.46quota equa
EV +0.961%
Vantaggio +0.213%
Kelly +0.274%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.02%22.39%22.53%24.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.084.104.5026.67%24.50%24.39%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.83%3.59quota equa
EV +0.198%
Vantaggio +0.055%
Kelly +0.076%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.08%27.84%27.84%29.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.333.303.6035.71%30.05%30.30%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.83%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%EV +0.961%E +0.213%K +0.274%G +0.003%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.69%EV -6.20%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 19:05
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -1.28%E -0.292%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 19:09
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -1.28%E -0.292%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 19:10
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -2.40%E -0.553%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 19:10
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -5.01%E -2.62%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 19:00
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -7.00%E -3.74%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 18:45
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.00%E -3.74%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 19:06
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 19:11
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 19:10
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -5.51%E -2.90%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:50
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:40
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:36
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:36
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:40
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:40
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 19:06
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 19:00
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 18:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -13.72%E -4.43%K -6.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 19:10
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 18:50
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 18:40
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 18:36
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 18:40
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 18:40
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -11.97%E -6.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 18:40
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.17%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -9.14%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 19:05
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.17%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -9.14%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 19:06
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.00%E -3.74%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 18:50
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.00%E -3.74%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 18:50
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 19:10
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 19:00
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -9.49%E -5.21%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 19:05
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 19:10
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -12.97%E -7.41%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -3.98%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 18:40
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -12.97%E -7.41%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -3.98%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 18:36
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -10.48%E -5.82%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 18:20
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -10.48%E -5.82%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 18:51
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.94%EV -7.50%E -4.03%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -11.38%E -2.88%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 19:05
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -14.96%E -8.75%K -21.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -11.38%E -2.88%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -6.76%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-17 18:40
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.21%EV -2.03%E -1.03%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.10%EV -11.60%E -2.95%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.69%EV -4.53%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 19:10
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.35%EV -9.99%E -5.52%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.73%EV -11.83%E -3.01%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 19:04
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.97%EV -10.48%E -5.82%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -12.50%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -13.72%E -4.43%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-17 19:05
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.67%EV -12.97%E -7.41%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -12.50%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -13.72%E -4.43%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-17 19:04
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.54%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.90%EV -13.62%E -3.54%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-17 19:06
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 19:00
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 19:00
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 19:05
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.10%EV -11.97%E -6.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.87%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.03%EV -13.72%E -4.43%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-17 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.10%EV -13.96%E -8.07%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -15.87%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.72%EV -22.07%E -7.88%K -12.26%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-17 19:06
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-17 19:10
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-17 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-17 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-17 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-17 19:00
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.03%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-17 19:00