L’École des cotes

Zaragoza v Sporting Gijón

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 19:15 UTC

Score final : Zaragoza 1–3 Sporting Gijón

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zaragoza (Local)

Prévision 49.73%2.01cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -2.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.10%49.77%49.63%51.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.831.831.9758.48%54.67%54.64%50.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sporting Gijón (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.44%4.46cote équitable
EV +0.961%
Avantage +0.213%
Kelly +0.274%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.02%22.39%22.53%24.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.084.104.5026.67%24.50%24.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.83%3.59cote équitable
EV +0.198%
Avantage +0.055%
Kelly +0.076%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.08%27.84%27.84%29.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.333.303.6035.71%30.05%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.83%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%EV +0.961%E +0.213%K +0.274%G +0.003%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.69%EV -6.20%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 19:05
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -1.28%E -0.292%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 19:09
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -1.28%E -0.292%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 19:10
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -2.40%E -0.553%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 19:10
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -5.01%E -2.62%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 19:00
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -7.00%E -3.74%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 18:45
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.00%E -3.74%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 19:06
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 19:11
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 19:10
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -5.51%E -2.90%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:50
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:40
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:36
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:36
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:40
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:40
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 19:06
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 19:00
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 18:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -13.72%E -4.43%K -6.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 19:10
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 18:50
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 18:40
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 18:36
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 18:40
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 18:40
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -11.97%E -6.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 18:40
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.17%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -9.14%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 19:05
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.17%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -9.14%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 19:06
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.00%E -3.74%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 18:50
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.00%E -3.74%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 18:50
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 19:10
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 19:00
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -9.49%E -5.21%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 19:05
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 19:10
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -12.97%E -7.41%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -3.98%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 18:40
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -12.97%E -7.41%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -3.98%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 18:36
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -10.48%E -5.82%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 18:20
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -10.48%E -5.82%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 18:51
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.94%EV -7.50%E -4.03%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -11.38%E -2.88%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 19:05
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -14.96%E -8.75%K -21.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -11.38%E -2.88%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -6.76%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-17 18:40
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.21%EV -2.03%E -1.03%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.10%EV -11.60%E -2.95%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.69%EV -4.53%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 19:10
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.35%EV -9.99%E -5.52%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.73%EV -11.83%E -3.01%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 19:04
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.97%EV -10.48%E -5.82%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -12.50%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -13.72%E -4.43%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-17 19:05
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.67%EV -12.97%E -7.41%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -12.50%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -13.72%E -4.43%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-17 19:04
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.54%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.90%EV -13.62%E -3.54%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-17 19:06
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 19:00
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 19:00
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 19:05
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.10%EV -11.97%E -6.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.87%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.03%EV -13.72%E -4.43%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-17 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.10%EV -13.96%E -8.07%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -15.87%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.72%EV -22.07%E -7.88%K -12.26%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-17 19:06
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-17 19:10
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-17 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-17 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-17 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-17 19:00
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.03%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-17 19:00