La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Zaragoza v Sporting Gijón
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zaragoza (Local)
Predicción 49.73%2.01momio equitativo
EV -2.03%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -2.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.10%49.77%49.63%51.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.831.831.9758.48%54.67%54.64%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sporting Gijón (Visitante)
Predicción 22.44%4.46momio equitativo
EV +0.961%
Ventaja +0.213%
Kelly +0.274%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.02%22.39%22.53%24.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.084.104.5026.67%24.50%24.39%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.83%3.59momio equitativo
EV +0.198%
Ventaja +0.055%
Kelly +0.076%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.08%27.84%27.84%29.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.333.303.6035.71%30.05%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.83%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%EV +0.961%E +0.213%K +0.274%G +0.003% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.69%EV -6.20%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 19:05 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -1.28%E -0.292%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 19:09 |
| BetAnything | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -1.28%E -0.292%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 19:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -2.40%E -0.553%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 19:10 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -5.01%E -2.62%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 19:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -7.00%E -3.74%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-17 18:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.00%E -3.74%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 19:06 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 19:11 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 19:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -5.51%E -2.90%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 18:50 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 18:36 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 18:36 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 19:06 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-17 18:50 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -13.72%E -4.43%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 19:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 18:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| Casumo | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 18:36 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| betPARX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -11.97%E -6.77%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| Betsson | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.17%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -9.14%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 19:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.17%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -9.14%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 19:06 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.00%E -3.74%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 18:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.00%E -3.74%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 18:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 19:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 19:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 18:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -9.49%E -5.21%K -11.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-17 19:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-17 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -12.97%E -7.41%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -3.98%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -12.97%E -7.41%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -3.98%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-17 18:36 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -10.48%E -5.82%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-17 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -10.48%E -5.82%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-17 18:51 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.94%EV -7.50%E -4.03%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -11.38%E -2.88%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-17 19:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -14.96%E -8.75%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -11.38%E -2.88%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -6.76%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-17 18:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.21%EV -2.03%E -1.03%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.10%EV -11.60%E -2.95%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.69%EV -4.53%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.35%EV -9.99%E -5.52%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.73%EV -11.83%E -3.01%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-17 19:04 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.97%EV -10.48%E -5.82%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -12.50%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -13.72%E -4.43%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-17 19:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.67%EV -12.97%E -7.41%K -17.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -12.50%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -13.72%E -4.43%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-17 19:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.54%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.90%EV -13.62%E -3.54%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-17 19:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 19:00 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 19:00 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-17 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.10%EV -11.97%E -6.77%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.87%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.03%EV -13.72%E -4.43%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-17 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.10%EV -13.96%E -8.07%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -15.87%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.72%EV -22.07%E -7.88%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-05-17 19:06 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 19:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 19:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-05-17 19:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.03% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 19:00 |