مدرسة الاحتمالات

Zaragoza v Sporting Gijón

البداية: 2026-05-17 19:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Zaragoza 1–3 Sporting Gijón

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Zaragoza (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.73%2.01السعر العادل
EV -2.03%
الأفضلية -1.03%
Kelly -2.09%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.97

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.10%49.77%49.63%51.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.711.831.831.9758.48%54.67%54.64%50.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sporting Gijón (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.44%4.46السعر العادل
EV +0.961%
الأفضلية +0.213%
Kelly +0.274%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.02%22.39%22.53%24.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.084.104.5026.67%24.50%24.39%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.83%3.59السعر العادل
EV +0.198%
الأفضلية +0.055%
Kelly +0.076%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.08%27.84%27.84%29.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.333.303.6035.71%30.05%30.30%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.83%EV -3.52%E -1.81%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%EV +0.961%E +0.213%K +0.274%G +0.003%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.69%EV -6.20%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 19:05
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -1.28%E -0.292%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 19:09
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 50.53%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -1.28%E -0.292%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 19:10
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.97%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -2.40%E -0.553%K -0.718%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -5.93%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 19:10
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -5.01%E -2.62%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 19:00
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -7.00%E -3.74%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 18:45
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.00%E -3.74%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 19:06
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 19:11
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.61%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -3.53%E -0.820%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 19:10
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.12%EV -5.51%E -2.90%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.21%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 18:50
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:40
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:36
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:36
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:40
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.44%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV +0.198%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 18:40
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 19:06
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 19:00
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 18:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -5.77%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -13.72%E -4.43%K -6.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 19:10
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 18:50
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 18:40
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 18:36
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 18:40
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 18:40
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 51.61%EV -11.97%E -6.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.28%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -2.59%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 18:40
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.17%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -9.14%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 19:05
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.17%EV -6.50%E -3.46%K -7.39%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -9.14%E -2.26%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 19:06
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.00%E -3.74%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 18:50
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.00%E -3.74%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -5.37%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 18:50
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 19:10
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 19:00
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -9.49%E -5.21%K -11.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 19:05
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -8.00%E -4.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 19:10
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -12.97%E -7.41%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -3.98%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 18:40
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.42%EV -12.97%E -7.41%K -17.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -3.98%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 18:36
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -10.48%E -5.82%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-17 18:20
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -10.48%E -5.82%K -13.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -10.26%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 18:51
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.94%EV -7.50%E -4.03%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.05%EV -11.38%E -2.88%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.54%E -2.94%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-17 19:05
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.46%EV -14.96%E -8.75%K -21.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.28%EV -11.38%E -2.88%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -6.76%E -2.02%K -2.88%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-17 18:40
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.21%EV -2.03%E -1.03%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.10%EV -11.60%E -2.95%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.69%EV -4.53%E -1.32%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 19:10
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.35%EV -9.99%E -5.52%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.73%EV -11.83%E -3.01%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 19:04
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.97%EV -10.48%E -5.82%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -12.50%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -13.72%E -4.43%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-17 19:05
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.67%EV -12.97%E -7.41%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -12.50%E -3.21%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -13.72%E -4.43%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-17 19:04
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 49.54%EV -11.48%E -6.45%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.90%EV -13.62%E -3.54%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-17 19:06
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 19:00
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 19:00
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.99%E -4.91%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -10.94%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-17 19:05
Unibet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 49.10%EV -11.97%E -6.77%K -15.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.87%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.03%EV -13.72%E -4.43%K -6.53%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-17 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.10%EV -13.96%E -8.07%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.19%EV -15.87%E -4.23%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.72%EV -22.07%E -7.88%K -12.26%G +0.000%20.2%2026-05-17 19:06
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-17 19:10
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-17 19:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-17 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-17 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-05-17 19:00
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.03%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-05-17 19:00