Language:English
Zaragoza v Málaga
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zaragoza (Local)
Prediction 18.57%5.38fair odd
EV +6.79%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +1.43%
Growth +0.097%
assuming max odds 5.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.22%18.57%18.54%19.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.095.005.7522.22%19.64%20.00%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Málaga (Visit)
Prediction 58.51%1.71fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -5.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.94%58.49%58.57%59.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.571.571.6569.44%63.54%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.91%4.36fair odd
EV +0.365%
Edge +0.083%
Kelly +0.108%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.42%22.94%22.89%25.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.863.854.3830.30%25.91%25.97%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zaragoza (Local): 18.57%; Málaga (Visit): 58.51%; Draw: 22.91%. For Zaragoza (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.38. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +6.79%E +1.18%K +1.43%G +0.097% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -16.36%E -4.48%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +6.79%E +1.18%K +1.43%G +0.097% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -16.36%E -4.48%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +6.79%E +1.18%K +1.43%G +0.097% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -16.36%E -4.48%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV +6.79%E +1.18%K +1.43%G +0.097% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.30%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -15.22%E -4.11%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV +6.79%E +1.18%K +1.43%G +0.097% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.30%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -15.22%E -4.11%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +4.00%E +0.715%K +0.870%G +0.035% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -18.65%E -5.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +4.00%E +0.715%K +0.870%G +0.035% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -18.65%E -5.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +4.00%E +0.715%K +0.870%G +0.035% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -18.65%E -5.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.33%EV +4.00%E +0.715%K +0.870%G +0.035% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -17.51%E -4.86%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +2.14%E +0.390%K +0.476%G +0.010% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.85%EV -3.45%E -2.09%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV +2.14%E +0.390%K +0.476%G +0.010% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.24%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -17.51%E -4.86%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV +2.14%E +0.390%K +0.476%G +0.010% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -19.80%E -5.66%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV +2.14%E +0.390%K +0.476%G +0.010% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.19%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -18.65%E -5.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV +2.14%E +0.390%K +0.476%G +0.010% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.19%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -18.65%E -5.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.22%EV +0.287%E +0.053%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.01%EV -11.64%E -7.71%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -22.09%E -6.50%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.28I 18.94%NM 17.99%EV -1.94%E -0.368%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.01%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.00%EV -5.36%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -2.50%E -0.476%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -3.43%E -0.659%K -0.816%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.82%EV -5.28%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.26%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.92%EV +0.365%E +0.083%K +0.108%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.28%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.47%E -0.341%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.28%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.47%E -0.341%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.28%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-31 15:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-31 15:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -14.07%E -3.75%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-31 16:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -12.23%E -8.15%K -24.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-31 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -8.07%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.50%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.20%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -8.07%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.50%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.20%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -9.00%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -4.91%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-31 16:18 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -9.00%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -4.91%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -9.00%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.10%EV -11.06%E -7.28%K -21.27%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.57%EV -8.80%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -9.93%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.83%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -9.49%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-31 16:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.97%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -14.07%E -3.75%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.78%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -0.780%E -0.180%K -0.234%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.73%EV -11.78%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.11%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-31 16:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.53%EV -12.71%E -2.70%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.85%EV -13.40%E -9.05%K -27.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.62%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.57%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.57%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.57%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.57%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-31 15:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -16.43%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.22%EV -16.43%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 56.94%EV -15.74%E -10.93%K -35.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 24.84%EV -24.38%E -7.39%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 22.0% | 2026-05-31 15:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.81% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.55% | 1.9% | 2026-05-31 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.90% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.76% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34% | 2.0% | 2026-05-31 16:10 |