La escuela de los momios

Zaragoza v Málaga

Inicio: 2026-05-31 16:30 UTC

Final: Zaragoza 0–2 Málaga

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Zaragoza (Local)

Predicción 18.57%5.38momio equitativo
EV +6.79%
Ventaja +1.18%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.097%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.22%18.57%18.54%19.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.095.005.7522.22%19.64%20.00%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Málaga (Visitante)

Predicción 58.51%1.71momio equitativo
EV -3.45%
Ventaja -2.09%
Kelly -5.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.94%58.49%58.57%59.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.571.571.6569.44%63.54%63.69%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.91%4.36momio equitativo
EV +0.365%
Ventaja +0.083%
Kelly +0.108%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.42%22.94%22.89%25.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.863.854.3830.30%25.91%25.97%22.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +6.79%E +1.18%K +1.43%G +0.097%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -16.36%E -4.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 16:00
Unibet (NL)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +6.79%E +1.18%K +1.43%G +0.097%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -16.36%E -4.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 16:00
Unibet (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +6.79%E +1.18%K +1.43%G +0.097%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -16.36%E -4.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 16:00
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV +6.79%E +1.18%K +1.43%G +0.097%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.30%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -15.22%E -4.11%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 16:20
ATG (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV +6.79%E +1.18%K +1.43%G +0.097%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.30%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -15.22%E -4.11%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 16:20
Casumo5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +4.00%E +0.715%K +0.870%G +0.035%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -18.65%E -5.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 16:00
betPARX5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +4.00%E +0.715%K +0.870%G +0.035%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -18.65%E -5.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 16:00
Grosvenor5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +4.00%E +0.715%K +0.870%G +0.035%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -18.65%E -5.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 16:00
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 16.33%EV +4.00%E +0.715%K +0.870%G +0.035%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -17.51%E -4.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-31 16:20
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +2.14%E +0.390%K +0.476%G +0.010%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.85%EV -3.45%E -2.09%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV +2.14%E +0.390%K +0.476%G +0.010%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.24%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -17.51%E -4.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-31 16:20
LeoVegas5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV +2.14%E +0.390%K +0.476%G +0.010%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -19.80%E -5.66%K -7.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-31 16:00
LiveScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV +2.14%E +0.390%K +0.476%G +0.010%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.19%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -18.65%E -5.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-31 16:20
Virgin Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV +2.14%E +0.390%K +0.476%G +0.010%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.19%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -18.65%E -5.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-31 16:20
PMU (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.22%EV +0.287%E +0.053%K +0.065%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.01%EV -11.64%E -7.71%K -22.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -22.09%E -6.50%K -9.20%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-31 16:00
1xBet5.28I 18.94%NM 17.99%EV -1.94%E -0.368%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.01%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.00%EV -5.36%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 16:20
Fanatics5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -2.50%E -0.476%K -0.588%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 16:10
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -3.43%E -0.659%K -0.816%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 16:10
Pinnacle5.10I 19.61%NM 18.82%EV -5.28%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.26%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.92%EV +0.365%E +0.083%K +0.108%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 16:20
LowVig.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.28%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.47%E -0.341%K -0.445%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-31 16:20
BetOnline.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.28%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.47%E -0.341%K -0.445%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-31 16:20
Marathon Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.28%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 16:20
DraftKings5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 16:10
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 15:50
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 15:50
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 15:40
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -14.07%E -3.75%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 15:40
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-31 16:10
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-31 16:19
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -12.23%E -8.15%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-31 16:19
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -8.07%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.50%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.20%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 16:10
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -8.07%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.50%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.20%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 16:10
Bovada4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -9.00%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -4.91%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 16:18
BetAnything4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -9.00%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -4.91%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 16:20
Betclic (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -9.00%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.10%EV -11.06%E -7.28%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.57%EV -8.80%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 16:10
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -9.93%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-31 16:20
Mr Green (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 16:20
Winamax (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.83%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -9.49%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-31 16:10
BetMGM4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-31 16:00
Codere (IT)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 16:10
William Hill4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-31 16:10
Winamax (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.97%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-31 16:10
Sky Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -14.07%E -3.75%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-31 16:10
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.78%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -0.780%E -0.180%K -0.234%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 16:20
Unibet (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 18.73%EV -11.78%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.11%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-31 16:09
NetBet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.53%EV -12.71%E -2.70%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.85%EV -13.40%E -9.05%K -27.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.62%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-31 16:10
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.57%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-31 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.57%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-31 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.57%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-31 15:40
Neds4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.57%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-31 15:39
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -16.43%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-31 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.22%EV -16.43%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 56.94%EV -15.74%E -10.93%K -35.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.84%EV -24.38%E -7.39%K -10.60%G +0.000%22.0%2026-05-31 15:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-31 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-31 16:10
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-31 16:10
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.81%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.55%1.9%2026-05-31 16:20
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.90%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%2.0%2026-05-31 16:10