L’École des cotes

Zaragoza v Málaga

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-31 16:30 UTC

Score final : Zaragoza 0–2 Málaga

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zaragoza (Local)

Prévision 18.57%5.38cote équitable
EV +6.79%
Avantage +1.18%
Kelly +1.43%
Croissance +0.097%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.22%18.57%18.54%19.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.095.005.7522.22%19.64%20.00%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Málaga (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.51%1.71cote équitable
EV -3.45%
Avantage -2.09%
Kelly -5.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.94%58.49%58.57%59.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.571.571.6569.44%63.54%63.69%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.91%4.36cote équitable
EV +0.365%
Avantage +0.083%
Kelly +0.108%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.42%22.94%22.89%25.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.863.854.3830.30%25.91%25.97%22.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +6.79%E +1.18%K +1.43%G +0.097%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -16.36%E -4.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 16:00
Unibet (NL)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +6.79%E +1.18%K +1.43%G +0.097%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -16.36%E -4.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 16:00
Unibet (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV +6.79%E +1.18%K +1.43%G +0.097%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.80%EV -4.62%E -2.84%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -16.36%E -4.48%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 16:00
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV +6.79%E +1.18%K +1.43%G +0.097%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.30%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -15.22%E -4.11%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 16:20
ATG (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV +6.79%E +1.18%K +1.43%G +0.097%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.30%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -15.22%E -4.11%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 16:20
Casumo5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +4.00%E +0.715%K +0.870%G +0.035%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -18.65%E -5.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 16:00
betPARX5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +4.00%E +0.715%K +0.870%G +0.035%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -18.65%E -5.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 16:00
Grosvenor5.60I 17.86%NM 16.45%EV +4.00%E +0.715%K +0.870%G +0.035%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -18.65%E -5.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 16:00
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 16.33%EV +4.00%E +0.715%K +0.870%G +0.035%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -17.51%E -4.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-31 16:20
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +2.14%E +0.390%K +0.476%G +0.010%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.85%EV -3.45%E -2.09%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.52%EV +2.14%E +0.390%K +0.476%G +0.010%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.24%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -17.51%E -4.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-31 16:20
LeoVegas5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV +2.14%E +0.390%K +0.476%G +0.010%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -19.80%E -5.66%K -7.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-31 16:00
LiveScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV +2.14%E +0.390%K +0.476%G +0.010%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.19%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -18.65%E -5.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-31 16:20
Virgin Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV +2.14%E +0.390%K +0.476%G +0.010%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.19%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -18.65%E -5.25%K -7.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-31 16:20
PMU (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.22%EV +0.287%E +0.053%K +0.065%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.01%EV -11.64%E -7.71%K -22.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -22.09%E -6.50%K -9.20%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-31 16:00
1xBet5.28I 18.94%NM 17.99%EV -1.94%E -0.368%K -0.454%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.01%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.00%EV -5.36%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 16:20
Fanatics5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -2.50%E -0.476%K -0.588%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -6.05%E -1.48%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 16:10
Tipico (DE)5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -3.43%E -0.659%K -0.816%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 16:10
Pinnacle5.10I 19.61%NM 18.82%EV -5.28%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.26%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.92%EV +0.365%E +0.083%K +0.108%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 16:20
LowVig.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.28%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.47%E -0.341%K -0.445%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-31 16:20
BetOnline.ag5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -5.28%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.47%E -0.341%K -0.445%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-31 16:20
Marathon Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -5.28%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 16:20
DraftKings5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.76%E -0.895%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-31 16:10
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -5.21%E -3.21%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 15:50
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 15:50
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -5.79%E -3.60%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 15:40
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -14.07%E -3.75%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 15:40
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-31 16:10
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-31 16:19
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -7.14%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -12.23%E -8.15%K -24.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-31 16:19
NordicBet4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -8.07%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.50%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.20%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 16:10
Betsson4.95I 20.20%NM 18.67%EV -8.07%E -1.63%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.50%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.82%EV -7.20%E -1.78%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 16:10
Bovada4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -9.00%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -4.91%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 16:18
BetAnything4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -9.00%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.27%EV -4.91%E -1.18%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-31 16:20
Betclic (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -9.00%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.10%EV -11.06%E -7.28%K -21.27%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.57%EV -8.80%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 16:10
PlayUp4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -9.93%E -2.05%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-31 16:20
Mr Green (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -6.38%E -3.99%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-31 16:20
Winamax (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.83%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -9.49%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-31 16:10
BetMGM4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.34%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-31 16:00
Codere (IT)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -7.55%E -4.78%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 16:10
William Hill4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-31 16:10
Winamax (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.84%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.97%EV -8.72%E -5.59%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.63%E -2.73%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-31 16:10
Sky Bet4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -14.07%E -3.75%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-31 16:10
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.78%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.06%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -0.780%E -0.180%K -0.234%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 16:20
Unibet (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 18.73%EV -11.78%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -10.47%E -6.85%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.11%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-31 16:09
NetBet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.53%EV -12.71%E -2.70%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 58.85%EV -13.40%E -9.05%K -27.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.62%EV -11.78%E -3.06%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-31 16:10
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.57%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-31 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.57%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-31 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.57%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-31 15:40
Neds4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -14.57%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -8.13%E -5.18%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-31 15:39
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -16.43%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -9.30%E -6.00%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -12.93%E -3.40%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-31 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 18.22%EV -16.43%E -3.65%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 56.94%EV -15.74%E -10.93%K -35.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.84%EV -24.38%E -7.39%K -10.60%G +0.000%22.0%2026-05-31 15:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-31 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-31 16:10
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.81%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.12%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-05-31 16:10
Kalshi5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.81%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.55%1.9%2026-05-31 16:20
Smarkets5.80I 17.24%NM 16.90%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%2.0%2026-05-31 16:10