Language:English
Zaragoza v Almería
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zaragoza (Local)
Prediction 32.00%3.12fair odd
EV +1.77%
Edge +0.556%
Kelly +0.811%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 3.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.85%31.93%32.08%33.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.862.853.1837.74%34.91%35.09%31.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Almería (Visit)
Prediction 39.68%2.52fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.55%39.74%39.59%41.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.312.302.4350.00%43.20%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.32%3.53fair odd
EV -0.878%
Edge -0.251%
Kelly -0.351%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.28%28.33%28.34%30.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.203.203.5034.72%31.29%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zaragoza (Local): 32.00%; Almería (Visit): 39.68%; Draw: 28.32%. For Zaragoza (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.77%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.43%EV +1.77%E +0.556%K +0.811%G +0.014% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.33%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.24%EV -6.26%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.85%EV +1.77%E +0.556%K +0.811%G +0.014% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.64%EV -9.54%E -4.18%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.51%EV -5.69%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -0.792%E -0.256%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -0.792%E -0.256%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -2.71%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.72%EV -9.14%E -3.99%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -7.68%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 05:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 17:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -5.59%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 17:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.59%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 10:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -0.878%E -0.251%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 16:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -9.54%E -4.18%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -3.58%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -3.58%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -3.58%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -3.58%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -3.58%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 10:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 10:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.79%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.79%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 16:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 15:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -7.95%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 10:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.13%EV -11.03%E -3.97%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.70%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.18%EV -10.22%E -3.23%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -7.95%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -7.95%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 10:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.24%EV -13.50%E -6.19%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -12.71%E -5.78%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.66%EV -12.71%E -5.78%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.62%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -20.65%E -10.32%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -18.44%E -6.40%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.09%EV -13.59%E -5.03%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.97%EV -16.68%E -7.94%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.94%EV -17.87%E -6.16%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -15.19%E -5.73%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -12.71%E -5.78%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-14 10:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.34% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14% | 2.4% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |