La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Zaragoza v Almería
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zaragoza (Local)
Predicción 32.00%3.12momio equitativo
EV +1.77%
Ventaja +0.556%
Kelly +0.811%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.85%31.93%32.08%33.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.862.853.1837.74%34.91%35.09%31.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Almería (Visitante)
Predicción 39.68%2.52momio equitativo
EV -3.58%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -2.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.55%39.74%39.59%41.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.312.302.4350.00%43.20%43.48%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.32%3.53momio equitativo
EV -0.878%
Ventaja -0.251%
Kelly -0.351%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.28%28.33%28.34%30.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.203.203.5034.72%31.29%31.25%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.43%EV +1.77%E +0.556%K +0.811%G +0.014% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.33%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.24%EV -6.26%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| 1xBet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.85%EV +1.77%E +0.556%K +0.811%G +0.014% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.64%EV -9.54%E -4.18%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.51%EV -5.69%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -0.792%E -0.256%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -0.792%E -0.256%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -2.71%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.72%EV -9.14%E -3.99%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -7.68%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 05:05 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 17:14 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| BetAnything | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| DraftKings | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -5.59%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 17:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.59%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 10:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -0.878%E -0.251%K -0.351%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 16:44 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -9.54%E -4.18%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| Unibet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -3.58%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -3.58%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -3.58%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -3.58%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -3.58%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Betsson | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 10:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 10:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.79%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.79%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 16:34 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 15:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -7.95%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 10:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.13%EV -11.03%E -3.97%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.70%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.18%EV -10.22%E -3.23%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-14 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -7.95%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -7.95%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 16:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 10:45 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.24%EV -13.50%E -6.19%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -12.71%E -5.78%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-14 17:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.66%EV -12.71%E -5.78%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.62%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -20.65%E -10.32%K -20.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -18.44%E -6.40%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 21.1% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.09%EV -13.59%E -5.03%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.97%EV -16.68%E -7.94%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.94%EV -17.87%E -6.16%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -15.19%E -5.73%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -12.71%E -5.78%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-14 10:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74% | 1.0% | 2026-03-14 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 17:25 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.34% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14% | 2.4% | 2026-03-14 17:20 |