مدرسة الاحتمالات

Zaragoza v Almería

البداية: 2026-03-14 17:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Zaragoza (المضيف)

التنبؤ 32.00%3.12السعر العادل
EV +1.77%
الأفضلية +0.556%
Kelly +0.811%
النمو +0.014%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.18

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.85%31.93%32.08%33.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.652.862.853.1837.74%34.91%35.09%31.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Almería (الضيف)

التنبؤ 39.68%2.52السعر العادل
EV -3.58%
الأفضلية -1.48%
Kelly -2.51%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.43

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.55%39.74%39.59%41.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.002.312.302.4350.00%43.20%43.48%41.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.32%3.53السعر العادل
EV -0.878%
الأفضلية -0.251%
Kelly -0.351%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.28%28.33%28.34%30.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.203.203.5034.72%31.29%31.25%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.18I 31.45%NM 30.43%EV +1.77%E +0.556%K +0.811%G +0.014%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.33%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.24%EV -6.26%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 17:25
1xBet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.85%EV +1.77%E +0.556%K +0.811%G +0.014%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.64%EV -9.54%E -4.18%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.51%EV -5.69%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 17:25
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -0.792%E -0.256%K -0.377%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 17:20
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -0.792%E -0.256%K -0.377%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 17:20
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -2.71%E -0.892%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.72%EV -9.14%E -3.99%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -7.68%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 17:25
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 05:05
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 17:14
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 17:25
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 17:25
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 17:25
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -3.99%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 17:25
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -5.59%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 17:14
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -5.59%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 10:45
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -0.878%E -0.251%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 16:44
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 17:15
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -7.19%E -2.48%K -3.79%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -9.54%E -4.18%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 17:15
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -3.58%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -3.58%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -3.58%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:35
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -3.58%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.76%EV -3.58%E -1.48%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.91%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 17:20
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 10:45
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.14%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 10:45
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-14 17:15
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -7.83%E -2.72%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-14 17:15
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -8.79%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 16:45
theScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.79%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 17:25
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 16:35
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 16:35
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 16:35
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 16:35
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:34
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 15:49
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.16%EV -7.95%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 10:45
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.39%E -3.71%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 15:20
Betclic (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 32.13%EV -11.03%E -3.97%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.70%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.18%EV -10.22%E -3.23%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 17:10
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 10:45
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -7.95%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 16:35
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.76%EV -7.95%E -3.43%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.55%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 16:35
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 10:45
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 15:20
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 15:20
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.24%EV -13.50%E -6.19%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.79%E -3.43%K -5.02%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 17:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -12.71%E -5.78%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 17:05
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.66%EV -12.71%E -5.78%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -13.62%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-14 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.03%EV -11.99%E -4.36%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.29%EV -20.65%E -10.32%K -20.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.68%EV -18.44%E -6.40%K -9.81%G +0.000%21.1%2026-03-14 17:15
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.09%EV -13.59%E -5.03%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.97%EV -16.68%E -7.94%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.94%EV -17.87%E -6.16%K -9.41%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-14 17:15
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -15.19%E -5.73%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -12.71%E -5.78%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-14 10:44
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%1.0%2026-03-14 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%1.2%2026-03-14 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%1.2%2026-03-14 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%1.2%2026-03-14 17:20
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.51%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%1.2%2026-03-14 17:25
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.51%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.34%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.14%2.4%2026-03-14 17:20