Language:English
Tenerife v Sporting Gijón
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tenerife (Local)
Prediction 40.97%2.44fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.84%40.99%40.95%43.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.212.222.3550.76%45.23%45.05%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sporting Gijón (Visit)
Prediction 27.99%3.57fair odd
EV +0.493%
Edge +0.137%
Kelly +0.190%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.22%28.04%28.01%29.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.283.253.5932.79%30.48%30.77%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.04%3.22fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.711%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.59%30.96%31.05%32.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.782.983.003.1535.97%33.57%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tenerife (Local): 40.97%; Sporting Gijón (Visit): 27.99%; Draw: 31.04%. For Sporting Gijón (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.59, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.493%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.19%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.96%EV +0.493%E +0.137%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.84%EV -5.65%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.03%E -0.579%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -2.03%E -0.579%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 17:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.70%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -3.15%E -0.909%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.05%EV -5.03%E -1.64%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -11.09%E -5.11%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -3.43%E -0.993%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -11.09%E -5.11%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -3.43%E -0.993%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -11.09%E -5.11%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -3.43%E -0.993%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -11.09%E -5.11%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -3.43%E -0.993%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -11.09%E -5.11%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -3.43%E -0.993%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 18:06 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-28 18:36 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-28 18:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -8.22%E -3.67%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -5.39%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -5.65%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.18%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -8.13%E -2.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.18%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -8.13%E -2.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.18%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -8.13%E -2.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -13.96%E -6.65%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -13.96%E -6.65%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -13.96%E -6.65%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -13.96%E -6.65%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-28 18:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.10%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.04%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.55%EV -8.46%E -2.59%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.41%EV -13.72%E -4.94%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-28 18:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 18:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 18:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.62%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.98%EV -15.19%E -7.34%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.09%EV -15.60%E -7.57%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.31%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-28 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.09%EV -15.60%E -7.57%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.31%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -13.10%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-28 18:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 18:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 18:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.09%EV -9.04%E -4.07%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.10%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-28 18:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-28 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.04%EV -13.96%E -6.65%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-28 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 43.30%EV -19.29%E -9.79%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.08%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -10.62%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-28 05:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 05:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.62%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.62%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.93%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.93%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -13.10%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.30%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -14.62%E -4.79%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-28 18:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 15:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |