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Tenerife v Sporting Gijón

2026-08-28 19:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tenerife (Local)

Prediction 44.65%2.24fair odd
EV -5.34%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -4.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.22%44.67%44.75%46.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.052.052.1251.28%48.81%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sporting Gijón (Visit)

Prediction 26.27%3.81fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.392%
Kelly -0.534%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.73%26.27%26.24%27.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.453.503.7531.25%28.95%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.07%3.44fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.778%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.14%29.06%29.01%29.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.143.103.3533.90%31.89%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tenerife (Local): 44.65%; Sporting Gijón (Visit): 26.27%; Draw: 29.07%. For Sporting Gijón (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -1.47%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.30%EV -5.34%E -2.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.03%EV -3.05%E -0.825%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -2.61%E -0.778%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-24 19:44
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.14%EV -5.78%E -2.74%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -2.78%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.12%EV -4.93%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-24 19:19
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -1.47%E -0.392%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -4.06%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 19:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.51%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 18:39
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.06%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-24 18:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.42%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.42%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 19:43
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 16:05
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 16:04
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 19:42
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 19:43
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.29%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 18:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -6.68%E -3.19%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-24 16:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.26%EV -8.02%E -3.89%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -5.94%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -5.51%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 19:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 18:39
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 18:39
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 18:34
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-24 18:33
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.61%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.61%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 18:34
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.61%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.61%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 18:34
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.61%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 18:34
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -9.80%E -4.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.70%E -5.35%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -2.78%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 19:15
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -10.70%E -5.35%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.51%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 18:49
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.70%E -5.35%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-24 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.70%E -5.35%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-24 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -10.70%E -5.35%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.25%EV -11.19%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.38%EV -12.20%E -4.04%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.85%EV -10.70%E -5.35%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -15.92%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.33%E -3.71%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-24 16:08
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -12.93%E -6.63%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-24 18:18
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -12.93%E -6.63%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -13.29%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -12.78%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-24 19:04
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.44%EV -12.93%E -6.63%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -14.61%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -12.78%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-24 18:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.41%EV -12.93%E -6.63%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.24%EV -13.29%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.35%EV -14.24%E -4.83%K -7.30%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-24 19:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17%3.0%2026-08-24 18:59
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 43.23%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.31%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.46%16.2%2026-08-24 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-24 16:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-24 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-24 16:09