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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Tenerife v Sporting Gijón

2026-08-28 19:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

胜负盘

36 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tenerife (主队)

预测 44.65%2.24公平赔率
EV -5.34%
优势 -2.52%
Kelly -4.76%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.12

博彩公司预测分布
43.22%44.67%44.75%46.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.052.052.1251.28%48.81%48.78%47.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sporting Gijón (客队)

预测 26.27%3.81公平赔率
EV -1.47%
优势 -0.392%
Kelly -0.534%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
24.73%26.27%26.24%27.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.453.503.7531.25%28.95%28.57%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.07%3.44公平赔率
EV -2.61%
优势 -0.778%
Kelly -1.11%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.35

博彩公司预测分布
28.14%29.06%29.01%29.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.143.103.3533.90%31.89%32.26%29.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Tenerife (主队)：44.65%；Sporting Gijón (客队)：26.27%；平局：29.07%。 对于“Sporting Gijón (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.81。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.75，期望值为-1.47%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.30%EV -5.34%E -2.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.03%EV -3.05%E -0.825%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.67%EV -2.61%E -0.778%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-24 19:44
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.14%EV -5.78%E -2.74%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.74%EV -2.78%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.12%EV -4.93%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-24 19:19
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -1.47%E -0.392%K -0.534%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -4.06%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 19:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.51%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-24 18:39
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.06%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-24 18:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.42%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 19:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.42%E -2.67%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-24 19:43
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 16:05
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.35%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-24 16:04
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 19:42
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.67%E -3.14%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 19:43
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.23%E -2.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.29%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-24 18:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -6.68%E -3.19%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -11.98%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-24 16:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.26%EV -8.02%E -3.89%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -5.94%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -5.51%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-24 20:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 18:39
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 18:39
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.97%E -2.18%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-24 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 18:34
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-24 18:33
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.61%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 16:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.61%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 18:34
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.61%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 18:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.61%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 18:34
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.46%E -4.13%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.61%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-24 18:34
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -9.80%E -4.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-24 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.70%E -5.35%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -2.78%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 19:15
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -10.70%E -5.35%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.51%E -1.70%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 18:49
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.70%E -5.35%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-24 18:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.70%E -5.35%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.04%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-24 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -10.70%E -5.35%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.25%EV -11.19%E -3.31%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.38%EV -12.20%E -4.04%K -6.04%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-24 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.85%EV -10.70%E -5.35%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -15.92%E -4.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.33%E -3.71%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-24 16:08
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -12.93%E -6.63%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -5.41%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.87%E -3.19%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-24 18:18
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -12.93%E -6.63%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -13.29%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -12.78%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-24 19:04
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.44%EV -12.93%E -6.63%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -14.61%E -4.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.89%EV -12.78%E -4.26%K -6.39%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-24 18:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.41%EV -12.93%E -6.63%K -13.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.24%EV -13.29%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.35%EV -14.24%E -4.83%K -7.30%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-24 19:44
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.23%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.17%3.0%2026-08-24 18:59
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 43.23%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.31%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.46%16.2%2026-08-24 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-24 16:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 32.72%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.64%180.4%2026-08-24 16:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-24 16:09