语言:简体中文
Tenerife v Sporting Gijón
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Tenerife (主队)
预测 40.97%2.44公平赔率
EV -3.72%
优势 -1.58%
Kelly -2.75%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.35
博彩公司预测分布
39.84%40.99%40.95%43.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.972.212.222.3550.76%45.23%45.05%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
Sporting Gijón (客队)
预测 27.99%3.57公平赔率
EV +0.493%
优势 +0.137%
Kelly +0.190%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 3.59
博彩公司预测分布
26.22%28.04%28.01%29.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.283.253.5932.79%30.48%30.77%27.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 31.04%3.22公平赔率
EV -2.24%
优势 -0.711%
Kelly -1.04%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.15
博彩公司预测分布
29.59%30.96%31.05%32.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.782.983.003.1535.97%33.57%33.33%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Tenerife (主队)：40.97%；Sporting Gijón (客队)：27.99%；平局：31.04%。 对于“Sporting Gijón (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.57。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.59，对应+0.493%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.19%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.96%EV +0.493%E +0.137%K +0.190%G +0.001% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.84%EV -5.65%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.03%E -0.579%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -2.03%E -0.579%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 17:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.70%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -3.15%E -0.909%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.05%EV -5.03%E -1.64%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -11.09%E -5.11%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -3.43%E -0.993%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -11.09%E -5.11%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -3.43%E -0.993%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -11.09%E -5.11%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -3.43%E -0.993%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -11.09%E -5.11%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -3.43%E -0.993%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -11.09%E -5.11%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -3.43%E -0.993%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-28 18:06 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-28 18:36 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-28 18:33 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -8.22%E -3.67%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -5.39%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -5.65%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.18%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -8.13%E -2.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.18%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -8.13%E -2.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.18%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -8.13%E -2.75%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -13.96%E -6.65%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -13.96%E -6.65%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -13.96%E -6.65%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -13.96%E -6.65%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-28 18:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.10%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.04%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.55%EV -8.46%E -2.59%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.41%EV -13.72%E -4.94%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-28 18:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 18:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 18:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.62%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.98%EV -15.19%E -7.34%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.09%EV -15.60%E -7.57%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.31%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-28 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.09%EV -15.60%E -7.57%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.31%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -13.10%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-28 18:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 18:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 18:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.09%EV -9.04%E -4.07%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.10%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-28 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-28 18:51 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-28 18:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.04%EV -13.96%E -6.65%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-28 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 43.30%EV -19.29%E -9.79%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.08%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -10.62%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-08-28 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-28 05:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 05:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.62%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.62%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.93%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.93%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -13.10%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.30%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -14.62%E -4.79%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-28 18:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-28 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 0.8% | 2026-08-28 18:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 15:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39% | 1.1% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-08-28 18:55 |