Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tenerife v Sporting Gijón

Início: 2026-08-28 19:00 UTC

Final: Tenerife 0–1 Sporting Gijón

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tenerife (Local)

Previsão 40.97%2.44odd justa
EV -3.72%
Vantagem -1.58%
Kelly -2.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.84%40.99%40.95%43.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.972.212.222.3550.76%45.23%45.05%42.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sporting Gijón (Visitante)

Previsão 27.99%3.57odd justa
EV +0.493%
Vantagem +0.137%
Kelly +0.190%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.22%28.04%28.01%29.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.283.253.5932.79%30.48%30.77%27.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 31.04%3.22odd justa
EV -2.24%
Vantagem -0.711%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.59%30.96%31.05%32.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.782.983.003.1535.97%33.57%33.33%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tenerife (Local): 40.97%; Sporting Gijón (Visitante): 27.99%; Empate: 31.04%. Para Sporting Gijón (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.57. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.59, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.493%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.19%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.96%EV +0.493%E +0.137%K +0.190%G +0.001%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.84%EV -5.65%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-28 18:35
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.03%E -0.579%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -2.03%E -0.579%K -0.810%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 17:45
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.49%EV -6.17%E -2.70%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -3.15%E -0.909%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.05%EV -5.03%E -1.64%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -11.09%E -5.11%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -3.43%E -0.993%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 18:05
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -11.09%E -5.11%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -3.43%E -0.993%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -11.09%E -5.11%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -3.43%E -0.993%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -11.09%E -5.11%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -3.43%E -0.993%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.14%EV -11.09%E -5.11%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -3.43%E -0.993%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-28 18:06
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 18:35
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 18:30
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-28 18:36
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -4.83%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-28 18:33
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -8.22%E -3.67%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -5.39%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -5.65%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.18%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -8.13%E -2.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.18%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -8.13%E -2.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 18:35
BetAnything🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.18%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -8.13%E -2.75%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 18:35
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 18:35
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -13.96%E -6.65%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 18:05
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -13.96%E -6.65%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 18:05
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -13.96%E -6.65%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 18:10
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -13.96%E -6.65%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -6.23%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-28 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 18:40
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 18:45
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.10%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-28 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.04%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.55%EV -8.46%E -2.59%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.41%EV -13.72%E -4.94%K -7.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-28 18:49
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 18:40
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 18:54
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 18:54
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.62%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-28 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.98%EV -15.19%E -7.34%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-28 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.09%EV -15.60%E -7.57%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.31%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-28 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.09%EV -15.60%E -7.57%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.31%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-28 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -13.10%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-28 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.32%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -2.24%E -0.711%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-28 18:40
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 18:51
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 18:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.09%EV -9.04%E -4.07%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-28 18:55
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-28 18:35
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.10%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-28 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -5.34%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-28 18:51
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.00%E -3.45%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-28 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.04%EV -13.96%E -6.65%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -8.45%E -2.86%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-28 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 43.30%EV -19.29%E -9.79%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.08%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -10.62%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%17.2%2026-08-28 18:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-28 05:55
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -3.79%E -1.22%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 05:55
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.76%E -2.51%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-28 18:40
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.62%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.62%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.93%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-28 18:35
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.93%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-28 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -13.22%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -13.10%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-28 18:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.30%EV -11.91%E -5.54%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -14.62%E -4.79%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -6.89%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-28 18:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-08-28 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-08-28 18:35
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-08-28 18:40
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.61%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.74%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%1.0%2026-08-28 15:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%1.1%2026-08-28 18:55
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-08-28 18:55