Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.90
assuming max odds 4.99
assuming max odds 3.35
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tenerife (Local): 50.48%; Cádiz CF (Visit): 20.92%; Draw: 28.60%. For Cádiz CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.78. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.38%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.38%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.36%EV +4.38%E +0.879%K +1.10%G +0.048% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.27%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-26 16:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.92%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.71%EV +0.828%E +0.172%K +0.217%G +0.002% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.36%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-26 16:27 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -0.637%E -0.134%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 16:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.56%EV -11.66%E -6.66%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.57%EV -1.68%E -0.358%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -3.77%E -0.821%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-26 16:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -3.77%E -0.821%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -10.77%E -3.45%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-26 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.27%EV -4.09%E -2.15%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.22%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.51%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-26 16:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -5.60%E -3.00%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-26 08:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.09%E -2.15%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.09%E -2.15%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 16:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.09%E -2.15%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -3.00%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-26 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-26 16:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -8.63%E -4.77%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-26 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.93%EV -6.91%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.74%EV -7.33%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-26 16:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -5.10%E -2.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 04:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-25 08:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-25 08:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-25 08:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-25 08:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-25 08:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.62%E -1.70%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 16:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-26 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -8.12%E -4.46%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-26 16:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-26 16:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.72%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-26 16:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -9.42%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-26 16:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -11.66%E -6.66%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -9.42%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-26 16:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -11.66%E -6.66%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -9.42%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-26 16:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.31%EV -11.66%E -6.66%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -9.42%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.35%EV -14.20%E -4.73%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-26 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.48%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -10.05%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-26 16:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.62%EV -5.60%E -3.00%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -11.10%E -2.61%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-26 04:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.48%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.31%EV -11.10%E -2.61%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-26 16:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.87%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.19%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-26 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-26 04:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -9.13%E -5.07%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-26 15:46 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -10.14%E -5.70%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -10.14%E -5.70%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.57%EV -10.65%E -6.02%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.89%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.54%EV -15.06%E -5.07%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-26 16:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -8.48%E -2.65%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-26 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.74%EV -11.15%E -6.34%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.78%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -7.05%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-26 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.16%EV -10.65%E -6.02%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.65%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.19%EV -9.91%E -3.15%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 51.32%EV -16.71%E -10.13%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 20.91%EV -15.28%E -3.77%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.77%EV -12.77%E -4.19%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-09-26 16:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.33%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-26 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.33%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-26 16:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.33%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-26 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -7.62%E -4.16%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -16.33%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-26 16:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.95%EV -11.66%E -6.66%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -16.33%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -11.34%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-26 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.31%EV -14.18%E -8.34%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.65%EV -17.37%E -4.40%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.04%EV -12.77%E -4.19%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-26 15:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.49% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.98% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.54% | 0.1% | 2026-09-26 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.40% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.84% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-09-26 16:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.34% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.40% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26% | 1.1% | 2026-09-26 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.23% | 1.2% | 2026-09-26 16:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.93% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.63% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.45% | 1.9% | 2026-09-26 10:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.59% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.00% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.41% | 2.0% | 2026-09-26 16:30 |