Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tenerife v Cádiz CF

2026-09-26 16:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tenerife (Local)

Prévision 53.88%1.86cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -2.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.01%54.09%53.99%56.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.731.741.8265.36%57.87%57.47%54.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Cádiz CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.75%5.33cote équitable
EV +3.52%
Avantage +0.638%
Kelly +0.779%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 5.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.20%18.67%18.69%21.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.624.505.5224.39%21.66%22.22%18.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.36%3.65cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.491%
Kelly -0.681%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.40%27.24%27.32%28.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.313.303.5932.79%30.22%30.30%27.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Tenerife (Local) : 53.88% ; Cádiz CF (Visiteur) : 18.75% ; Match nul : 27.36%. Pour Cádiz CF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.33. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.52, pour une espérance positive de +3.52%.

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.80%EV -7.32%E -4.26%K -10.17%G +0.000%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.39%EV +3.52%E +0.638%K +0.779%G +0.027%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.81%EV -2.04%E -0.569%K -0.790%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-19 20:45
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.41%EV -9.48%E -5.64%K -13.94%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.20%EV +3.33%E +0.605%K +0.739%G +0.025%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.40%EV -1.76%E -0.491%K -0.681%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 20:40
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -3.01%E -1.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -6.23%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 20:45
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -10.02%E -6.00%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.23%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 20:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.00%EV -4.09%E -2.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.25%EV -8.11%E -1.65%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 20:45
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.40%E -4.94%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -8.11%E -1.65%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 20:40
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.40%E -4.94%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -8.11%E -1.65%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 20:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -9.48%E -5.64%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.51%EV -8.11%E -1.65%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 20:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.71%E -3.26%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -9.98%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 20:40
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.71%E -3.26%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.98%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 20:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.25%EV -6.24%E -3.59%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.92%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 20:44
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.78%E -3.92%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -11.86%E -2.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 20:45
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.13%EV -7.86%E -4.60%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -11.86%E -2.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 20:43
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.12%EV -12.71%E -7.85%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.65%EV -11.86%E -2.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.23%EV -11.89%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-19 20:39
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.62%EV -6.78%E -3.92%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.73%E -2.99%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 20:44
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -1.93%E -1.06%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -15.61%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 20:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -1.93%E -1.06%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -15.61%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 20:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -1.93%E -1.06%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -15.61%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 20:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -1.93%E -1.06%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -15.61%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 20:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -1.93%E -1.06%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -15.61%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 20:45
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.83%EV -8.40%E -4.94%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -15.61%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-19 20:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.72%EV -11.63%E -7.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -15.61%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-19 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 54.54%EV -17.56%E -11.48%K -33.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.54%EV -15.61%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.92%EV -15.17%E -4.89%K -7.22%G +0.000%19.8%2026-09-19 20:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.35%EV -12.71%E -7.85%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.64%EV -17.48%E -3.97%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%EV -12.44%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-19 20:39
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.12%EV -4.63%E -2.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -19.36%E -4.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 20:45
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.12%EV -4.63%E -2.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -19.36%E -4.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 20:45
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.12%EV -4.63%E -2.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -19.36%E -4.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 20:45
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.12%EV -4.63%E -2.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -19.36%E -4.50%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 20:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.06%EV -5.71%E -3.26%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.02%EV -20.30%E -4.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.44%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 20:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.06%EV -5.71%E -3.26%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.02%EV -20.30%E -4.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.44%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.20%EV -6.24%E -3.59%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.96%EV -20.30%E -4.78%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -12.44%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-19 20:45
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -10.02%E -6.00%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -21.24%E -5.06%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -15.17%E -4.89%K -7.22%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-19 20:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.01%EV -9.48%E -5.64%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.90%EV -23.11%E -5.64%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09%EV -16.54%E -5.42%K -8.07%G +0.000%16.7%2026-09-19 20:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 52.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09%16.7%2026-09-19 20:45