Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tenerife v Cádiz CF

2026-09-26 16:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Frente a frente

33 casas de apostas (8 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tenerife (Local)

Previsão 53.88%1.86odd justa
EV -1.93%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -2.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.01%54.09%53.99%56.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.731.741.8265.36%57.87%57.47%54.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cádiz CF (Visitante)

Previsão 18.75%5.33odd justa
EV +3.52%
Vantagem +0.638%
Kelly +0.779%
Crescimento +0.027%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.20%18.67%18.69%21.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.104.624.505.5224.39%21.66%22.22%18.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.36%3.65odd justa
EV -1.76%
Vantagem -0.491%
Kelly -0.681%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.40%27.24%27.32%28.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.313.303.5932.79%30.22%30.30%27.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Tenerife (Local): 53.88%; Cádiz CF (Visitante): 18.75%; Empate: 27.36%. Para Tenerife (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 1.86. 8 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 1.93, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +3.99%.

Odds das casas de apostas (33 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.41%EV -9.48%E -5.64%K -13.94%G +0.000%5.51I 18.15%NM 17.20%EV +3.33%E +0.605%K +0.739%G +0.025%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.40%EV -1.76%E -0.491%K -0.681%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 20:40
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.00%EV -10.02%E -6.00%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -6.23%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-19 20:40
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.40%E -4.94%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -8.11%E -1.65%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 20:40
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -8.40%E -4.94%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -8.11%E -1.65%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 20:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.00%EV -9.48%E -5.64%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.51%EV -8.11%E -1.65%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 20:44
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.11%EV -0.856%E -0.465%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.93%EV -9.80%E -2.04%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.95%EV -6.14%E -1.79%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-19 19:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -5.71%E -3.26%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -9.98%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 20:40
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -5.71%E -3.26%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -9.98%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 20:40
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV -1.39%E -0.762%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -10.92%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 20:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.25%EV -6.24%E -3.59%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -10.92%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-19 20:44
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.13%EV -7.86%E -4.60%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.33%EV -11.86%E -2.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 20:43
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.12%EV -12.71%E -7.85%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.65%EV -11.86%E -2.52%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.23%EV -11.89%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-19 20:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.79%EV -1.93%E -1.06%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -13.73%E -2.99%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 20:20
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.62%EV -6.78%E -3.92%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -13.73%E -2.99%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-19 20:44
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.55%EV -1.93%E -1.06%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -15.61%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 20:44
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.90%EV -4.09%E -2.30%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -15.61%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 20:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.72%EV -11.63%E -7.09%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -15.61%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-19 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 54.54%EV -17.56%E -11.48%K -33.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.54%EV -15.61%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.92%EV -15.17%E -4.89%K -7.22%G +0.000%19.8%2026-09-19 20:44
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -5.71%E -3.26%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -17.48%E -3.97%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 20:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.35%EV -12.71%E -7.85%K -20.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.64%EV -17.48%E -3.97%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%EV -12.44%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-19 20:39
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -10.02%E -6.00%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -21.24%E -5.06%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -15.17%E -4.89%K -7.22%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-19 20:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV +3.99%E +2.07%K +4.29%G +0.171%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -23.11%E -5.64%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV +3.99%E +2.07%K +4.29%G +0.171%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -23.11%E -5.64%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV +3.99%E +2.07%K +4.29%G +0.171%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -23.11%E -5.64%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.65%EV +3.99%E +2.07%K +4.29%G +0.171%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -23.11%E -5.64%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 17:34
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.38%EV +0.761%E +0.407%K +0.874%G +0.007%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -25.92%E -6.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -13.80%E -4.38%K -6.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 17:34
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.38%EV +0.761%E +0.407%K +0.874%G +0.007%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -25.92%E -6.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -13.80%E -4.38%K -6.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 17:34
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.38%EV +0.761%E +0.407%K +0.874%G +0.007%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -25.92%E -6.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -13.80%E -4.38%K -6.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 17:34
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.38%EV +0.761%E +0.407%K +0.874%G +0.007%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -25.92%E -6.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -13.80%E -4.38%K -6.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-19 17:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.50%EV -0.317%E -0.171%K -0.373%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -26.86%E -6.89%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.49%EV -13.80%E -4.38%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-19 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.50%EV -0.317%E -0.171%K -0.373%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.01%EV -26.86%E -6.89%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.49%EV -13.80%E -4.38%K -6.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-19 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.41%EV -1.39%E -0.762%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.01%EV -27.80%E -7.22%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.58%EV -15.17%E -4.89%K -7.22%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-19 17:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 48.35%EV -4.63%E -2.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.13%EV -30.61%E -8.27%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -17.91%E -5.97%K -8.95%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-19 17:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.