A Escola das Odds

Sporting Gijón v Real Valladolid CF

Início: 2026-02-22 13:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sporting Gijón (Local)

Previsão 45.33%2.21odd justa
EV -4.81%
Vantagem -2.29%
Kelly -4.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.40%45.42%45.33%48.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.821.982.002.1054.95%50.38%50.00%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Valladolid CF (Visitante)

Previsão 25.52%3.92odd justa
EV +7.20%
Vantagem +1.71%
Kelly +2.25%
Crescimento +0.162%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.25%25.45%25.58%27.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.723.604.2031.25%26.91%27.78%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.15%3.43odd justa
EV -3.52%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.14%29.14%29.09%30.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.703.143.153.3137.04%31.88%31.75%30.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -12.52%E -6.48%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +7.20%E +1.71%K +2.25%G +0.162%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 11:44
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -12.52%E -6.48%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +7.20%E +1.71%K +2.25%G +0.162%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 11:44
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -12.52%E -6.48%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +7.20%E +1.71%K +2.25%G +0.162%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 11:44
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -12.52%E -6.48%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +7.20%E +1.71%K +2.25%G +0.162%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 11:50
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -12.52%E -6.48%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +7.20%E +1.71%K +2.25%G +0.162%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 11:50
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -14.78%E -7.86%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 11:45
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -14.78%E -7.86%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 11:45
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -14.78%E -7.86%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 11:44
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -14.78%E -7.86%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -14.78%E -7.86%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 11:45
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.79%EV -15.24%E -8.15%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.96%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 11:45
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 48.79%EV -15.24%E -8.15%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.96%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 11:45
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV +2.10%E +0.524%K +0.699%G +0.015%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 12:48
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV +2.10%E +0.524%K +0.699%G +0.015%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 12:43
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -15.24%E -8.15%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV +2.10%E +0.524%K +0.699%G +0.015%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 12:40
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 48.60%EV -17.50%E -9.62%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.39%EV +0.821%E +0.208%K +0.278%G +0.002%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -11.10%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-21 11:45
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 45.99%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.57%EV +0.311%E +0.079%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.44%EV -4.40%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 12:50
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.75%EV -7.98%E -3.93%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.58%EV -1.48%E -0.382%K -0.516%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.67%EV -3.52%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 12:50
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -5.72%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -1.73%E -0.450%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 07:19
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 07:20
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 12:50
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 07:20
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 07:19
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 12:50
BetAnything2.04I 49.02%NM 45.19%EV -7.53%E -3.69%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.55%EV -9.06%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 12:49
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 12:49
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 12:50
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 12:50
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 12:49
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 12:50
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 12:49
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.62%EV -5.26%E -2.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -8.62%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -7.31%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 12:50
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -5.72%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -9.39%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 12:49
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.37%EV -8.89%E -4.42%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -9.39%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 12:50
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.81%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 12:50
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 12:50
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 12:49
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 12:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.61%E -5.95%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 12:50
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.61%E -5.95%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 12:49
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.13%EV -13.88%E -7.30%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.46%EV -10.23%E -3.32%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-22 12:50
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 12:49
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 12:50
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-22 04:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-22 05:00
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-22 05:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-22 05:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -15.47%E -5.34%K -8.14%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-22 12:50
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.36%EV -12.97%E -6.75%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-22 12:49
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -12.06%E -6.22%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -14.49%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-22 12:50
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 44.78%EV -16.14%E -8.73%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.10%EV -15.77%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.12%EV -19.85%E -7.22%K -11.34%G +0.000%20.7%2026-02-22 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.40%EV -13.42%E -7.03%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.90%EV -18.32%E -5.73%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.70%EV -21.30%E -7.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%20.6%2026-02-22 12:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-02-22 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-02-22 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-02-22 12:50
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-02-22 12:50
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23%1.8%2026-02-22 12:50