L’École des cotesFrançais
Sporting Gijón v Real Valladolid CF
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sporting Gijón (Local)
Prévision 45.33%2.21cote équitable
EV -4.81%
Avantage -2.29%
Kelly -4.37%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.40%45.42%45.33%48.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.821.982.002.1054.95%50.38%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Real Valladolid CF (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.52%3.92cote équitable
EV +7.20%
Avantage +1.71%
Kelly +2.25%
Croissance +0.162%
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.25%25.45%25.58%27.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.723.604.2031.25%26.91%27.78%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.15%3.43cote équitable
EV -3.52%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.31
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.14%29.14%29.09%30.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.143.153.3137.04%31.88%31.75%30.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -12.52%E -6.48%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +7.20%E +1.71%K +2.25%G +0.162% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 11:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -12.52%E -6.48%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +7.20%E +1.71%K +2.25%G +0.162% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 11:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -12.52%E -6.48%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +7.20%E +1.71%K +2.25%G +0.162% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 11:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -12.52%E -6.48%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +7.20%E +1.71%K +2.25%G +0.162% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 11:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -12.52%E -6.48%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +7.20%E +1.71%K +2.25%G +0.162% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 11:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -14.78%E -7.86%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 11:45 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -14.78%E -7.86%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 11:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -14.78%E -7.86%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 11:44 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -14.78%E -7.86%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -14.78%E -7.86%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.79%EV -15.24%E -8.15%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.96%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 11:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.79%EV -15.24%E -8.15%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.96%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 11:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV +2.10%E +0.524%K +0.699%G +0.015% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 12:48 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV +2.10%E +0.524%K +0.699%G +0.015% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 12:43 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -15.24%E -8.15%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV +2.10%E +0.524%K +0.699%G +0.015% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-22 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.60%EV -17.50%E -9.62%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.39%EV +0.821%E +0.208%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -11.10%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-21 11:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.99%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.57%EV +0.311%E +0.079%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.44%EV -4.40%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.75%EV -7.98%E -3.93%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.58%EV -1.48%E -0.382%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.67%EV -3.52%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -5.72%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -1.73%E -0.450%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 07:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 07:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-22 07:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-22 07:19 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| BetAnything | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.19%EV -7.53%E -3.69%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.55%EV -9.06%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.62%EV -5.26%E -2.52%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -8.62%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -7.31%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Bovada | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -5.72%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -9.39%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.37%EV -8.89%E -4.42%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -9.39%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.81%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.61%E -5.95%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.61%E -5.95%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.13%EV -13.88%E -7.30%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.46%EV -10.23%E -3.32%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-22 04:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-22 05:00 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-22 05:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-22 05:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -15.47%E -5.34%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.36%EV -12.97%E -6.75%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -12.06%E -6.22%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -14.49%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 44.78%EV -16.14%E -8.73%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.10%EV -15.77%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.12%EV -19.85%E -7.22%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.40%EV -13.42%E -7.03%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.90%EV -18.32%E -5.73%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.70%EV -21.30%E -7.89%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 20.6% | 2026-02-22 12:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23% | 1.8% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |