مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sporting Gijón v Real Valladolid CF

البداية: 2026-02-22 13:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sporting Gijón (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.33%2.21السعر العادل
EV -4.81%
الأفضلية -2.29%
Kelly -4.37%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.40%45.42%45.33%48.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.821.982.002.1054.95%50.38%50.00%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Real Valladolid CF (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.52%3.92السعر العادل
EV +7.20%
الأفضلية +1.71%
Kelly +2.25%
النمو +0.162%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.25%25.45%25.58%27.16%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.723.604.2031.25%26.91%27.78%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.15%3.43السعر العادل
EV -3.52%
الأفضلية -1.06%
Kelly -1.53%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.14%29.14%29.09%30.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.143.153.3137.04%31.88%31.75%30.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -12.52%E -6.48%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +7.20%E +1.71%K +2.25%G +0.162%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 11:44
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -12.52%E -6.48%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +7.20%E +1.71%K +2.25%G +0.162%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 11:44
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -12.52%E -6.48%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +7.20%E +1.71%K +2.25%G +0.162%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 11:44
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -12.52%E -6.48%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +7.20%E +1.71%K +2.25%G +0.162%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 11:50
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -12.52%E -6.48%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +7.20%E +1.71%K +2.25%G +0.162%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 11:50
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -14.78%E -7.86%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 11:45
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -14.78%E -7.86%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 11:45
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -14.78%E -7.86%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 11:44
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -14.78%E -7.86%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -14.78%E -7.86%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 11:45
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.79%EV -15.24%E -8.15%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.96%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 11:45
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 48.79%EV -15.24%E -8.15%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.96%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 11:45
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV +2.10%E +0.524%K +0.699%G +0.015%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 12:48
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV +2.10%E +0.524%K +0.699%G +0.015%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 12:43
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -15.24%E -8.15%K -17.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV +2.10%E +0.524%K +0.699%G +0.015%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 12:40
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 48.60%EV -17.50%E -9.62%K -21.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.39%EV +0.821%E +0.208%K +0.278%G +0.002%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -11.10%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-21 11:45
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 45.99%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.57%EV +0.311%E +0.079%K +0.106%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.44%EV -4.40%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-22 12:50
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.75%EV -7.98%E -3.93%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.58%EV -1.48%E -0.382%K -0.516%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.67%EV -3.52%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 12:50
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -5.72%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -1.73%E -0.450%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 07:19
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 07:20
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-22 12:50
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-22 07:20
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 07:19
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-22 12:50
BetAnything2.04I 49.02%NM 45.19%EV -7.53%E -3.69%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.55%EV -9.06%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 12:49
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 12:49
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 12:50
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 12:50
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 12:49
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 12:50
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 12:49
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.62%EV -5.26%E -2.52%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -8.62%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -7.31%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 12:50
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -5.72%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -9.39%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 12:49
Codere (IT)2.01I 49.75%NM 45.37%EV -8.89%E -4.42%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -9.39%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 12:50
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.81%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 12:50
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-22 12:50
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-22 12:49
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-22 12:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.61%E -5.95%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 12:50
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.61%E -5.95%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-22 12:49
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.13%EV -13.88%E -7.30%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.46%EV -10.23%E -3.32%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-22 12:50
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-22 12:49
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 12:50
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-22 04:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-22 05:00
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-22 05:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-22 05:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -15.47%E -5.34%K -8.14%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-22 12:50
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.36%EV -12.97%E -6.75%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%14.8%2026-02-22 12:49
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -12.06%E -6.22%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -14.49%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-22 12:50
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 44.78%EV -16.14%E -8.73%K -18.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.10%EV -15.77%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.12%EV -19.85%E -7.22%K -11.34%G +0.000%20.7%2026-02-22 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.40%EV -13.42%E -7.03%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.90%EV -18.32%E -5.73%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.70%EV -21.30%E -7.89%K -12.53%G +0.000%20.6%2026-02-22 12:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-02-22 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-02-22 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-02-22 12:50
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%0.6%2026-02-22 12:50
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23%1.8%2026-02-22 12:50