La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sporting Gijón v Real Valladolid CF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sporting Gijón (Local)
Predicción 45.33%2.21momio equitativo
EV -4.81%
Ventaja -2.29%
Kelly -4.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.40%45.42%45.33%48.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.821.982.002.1054.95%50.38%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Real Valladolid CF (Visitante)
Predicción 25.52%3.92momio equitativo
EV +7.20%
Ventaja +1.71%
Kelly +2.25%
Crecimiento +0.162%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.25%25.45%25.58%27.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.723.604.2031.25%26.91%27.78%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.15%3.43momio equitativo
EV -3.52%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.14%29.14%29.09%30.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.143.153.3137.04%31.88%31.75%30.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -12.52%E -6.48%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +7.20%E +1.71%K +2.25%G +0.162% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 11:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -12.52%E -6.48%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +7.20%E +1.71%K +2.25%G +0.162% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 11:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -12.52%E -6.48%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +7.20%E +1.71%K +2.25%G +0.162% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 11:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -12.52%E -6.48%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +7.20%E +1.71%K +2.25%G +0.162% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 11:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -12.52%E -6.48%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +7.20%E +1.71%K +2.25%G +0.162% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 11:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -14.78%E -7.86%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 11:45 |
| Casumo | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -14.78%E -7.86%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 11:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -14.78%E -7.86%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 11:44 |
| betPARX | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -14.78%E -7.86%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -14.78%E -7.86%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.79%EV -15.24%E -8.15%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.96%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 11:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.79%EV -15.24%E -8.15%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV +4.65%E +1.13%K +1.50%G +0.070% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.96%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 11:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV +2.10%E +0.524%K +0.699%G +0.015% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 12:48 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV +2.10%E +0.524%K +0.699%G +0.015% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.02%EV -7.90%E -2.50%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 12:43 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.74%EV -15.24%E -8.15%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV +2.10%E +0.524%K +0.699%G +0.015% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-22 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.60%EV -17.50%E -9.62%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.39%EV +0.821%E +0.208%K +0.278%G +0.002% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -11.10%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-21 11:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.99%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.57%EV +0.311%E +0.079%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.44%EV -4.40%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.75%EV -7.98%E -3.93%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.58%EV -1.48%E -0.382%K -0.516%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.67%EV -3.52%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -5.72%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -1.73%E -0.450%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 07:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 07:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-22 07:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-22 07:19 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| BetAnything | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.19%EV -7.53%E -3.69%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.55%EV -9.06%E -2.90%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -8.44%E -4.18%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.62%EV -5.26%E -2.52%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -8.62%E -2.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -7.31%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Bovada | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.31%EV -5.72%E -2.75%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -9.39%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.37%EV -8.89%E -4.42%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -9.39%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.81%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.61%E -5.95%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -11.61%E -5.95%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.13%EV -13.88%E -7.30%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.46%EV -10.23%E -3.32%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -4.81%E -2.29%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.08%E -3.45%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-22 04:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-22 05:00 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-22 05:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-02-22 05:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -9.34%E -4.67%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -15.47%E -5.34%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.36%EV -12.97%E -6.75%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.35%EV -12.06%E -6.22%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -14.49%E -4.33%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.38%EV -9.64%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 44.78%EV -16.14%E -8.73%K -18.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.10%EV -15.77%E -4.78%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.12%EV -19.85%E -7.22%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-02-22 12:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.40%EV -13.42%E -7.03%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 25.90%EV -18.32%E -5.73%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.70%EV -21.30%E -7.89%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 20.6% | 2026-02-22 12:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13% | 0.6% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23% | 1.8% | 2026-02-22 12:50 |