Language:English
Sporting Gijón v CD Eldense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sporting Gijón (Local)
Prediction 58.00%1.72fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.825%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.61%58.06%58.03%60.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.601.601.7067.11%62.44%62.50%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CD Eldense (Visit)
Prediction 17.59%5.68fair odd
EV +1.85%
Edge +0.319%
Kelly +0.386%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 5.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.10%17.55%17.51%19.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.095.005.7922.22%19.64%20.00%17.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.41%4.10fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.589%
Kelly -0.786%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.53%24.39%24.47%26.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.673.654.0030.30%27.27%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sporting Gijón (Local): 58.00%; CD Eldense (Visit): 17.59%; Draw: 24.41%. For CD Eldense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.68. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.85%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.50%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.79I 17.27%NM 16.37%EV +1.85%E +0.319%K +0.386%G +0.007% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.14%EV -7.97%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-13 11:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.81%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.77%EV +1.15%E +0.199%K +0.241%G +0.003% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.42%EV -3.58%E -0.906%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-13 11:51 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.22%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.44%EV +0.266%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 11:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -11.84%E -7.79%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV +0.266%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 11:11 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.25%E -0.591%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 11:46 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -3.25%E -0.591%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.93%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -3.25%E -0.591%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 11:41 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.65%EV -7.78%E -4.89%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -5.89%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 11:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.44%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.26%EV -5.89%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 11:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -6.77%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 11:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -6.77%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -6.77%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.97%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.28%EV -6.77%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 11:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.97%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.28%EV -6.77%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 11:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -7.65%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.36%E -0.589%K -0.786%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-13 11:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -7.65%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 11:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -7.65%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 11:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.03%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -7.65%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-13 11:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.03%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -7.65%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-13 11:53 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.93%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -8.53%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 11:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.19%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -10.29%E -2.02%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.17%EV -11.26%E -7.36%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -10.29%E -2.02%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -10.90%E -2.99%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-13 11:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.81%EV -13.58%E -9.12%K -27.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.18%EV -10.29%E -2.02%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -10.90%E -2.99%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-13 11:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -1.40%E -0.825%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -1.40%E -0.825%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -1.40%E -0.825%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 11:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -2.56%E -1.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -10.90%E -2.99%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -2.56%E -1.53%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -10.90%E -2.99%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-13 11:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-13 11:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -7.78%E -4.89%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-13 10:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-13 11:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -13.34%E -3.76%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -10.10%E -6.52%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-13 11:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 11:41 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 11:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.05%EV -10.10%E -6.52%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-13 11:51 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.53%EV -11.84%E -7.79%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.84%EV -13.81%E -2.82%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -13.34%E -3.76%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-13 11:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.57%E -3.24%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.57%E -3.24%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 11:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -15.57%E -3.24%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 11:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -15.57%E -3.24%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 11:36 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.47%EV -9.52%E -6.10%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -15.57%E -3.24%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.13%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -16.45%E -3.46%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.13%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -16.45%E -3.46%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -16.45%E -3.46%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -15.78%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 11:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -16.45%E -3.46%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -15.78%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 11:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.97%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -17.32%E -3.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -15.78%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.61%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -17.32%E -3.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -17.00%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 11:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.76%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -17.32%E -3.69%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -17.00%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 11:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 55.12%EV -10.10%E -6.52%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -20.84%E -4.63%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.89%EV -19.44%E -5.89%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-09-13 12:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.99% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 0.3% | 2026-09-13 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.81% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.81% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.81% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 11:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.76% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43% | 2.2% | 2026-09-13 11:25 |