Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sporting Gijón v CD Eldense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 12:01 UTC

Score final : Sporting Gijón 0–1 CD Eldense

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sporting Gijón (Local)

Prévision 58.00%1.72cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.825%
Kelly -2.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.61%58.06%58.03%60.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.491.601.601.7067.11%62.44%62.50%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

CD Eldense (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.59%5.68cote équitable
EV +1.85%
Avantage +0.319%
Kelly +0.386%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 5.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.10%17.55%17.51%19.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.505.095.005.7922.22%19.64%20.00%17.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.41%4.10cote équitable
EV -2.36%
Avantage -0.589%
Kelly -0.786%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.53%24.39%24.47%26.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.673.654.0030.30%27.27%27.40%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sporting Gijón (Local) : 58.00% ; CD Eldense (Visiteur) : 17.59% ; Match nul : 24.41%. Pour CD Eldense (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.68. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.79, soit une espérance positive de +1.85%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.50%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.37%EV +1.85%E +0.319%K +0.386%G +0.007%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.14%EV -7.97%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 11:59
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.81%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.77%EV +1.15%E +0.199%K +0.241%G +0.003%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.42%EV -3.58%E -0.906%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 11:51
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.22%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.44%EV +0.266%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 11:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -11.84%E -7.79%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV +0.266%E +0.047%K +0.057%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 11:11
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.11%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -3.25%E -0.591%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 11:46
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -3.25%E -0.591%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 12:00
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.93%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -3.25%E -0.591%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 11:41
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.65%EV -7.78%E -4.89%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -5.89%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 11:59
Bovada🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.44%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.26%EV -5.89%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 11:58
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -6.77%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 11:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -6.77%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 12:00
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -6.77%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 12:00
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.97%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.28%EV -6.77%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 11:05
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.97%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.28%EV -6.77%E -1.28%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 11:05
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.20%EV -7.65%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.89%EV -2.36%E -0.589%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-13 11:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.01%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -7.65%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 11:59
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -7.65%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 11:30
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.03%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -7.65%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 11:50
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.03%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.35%EV -7.65%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 11:53
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.93%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -8.53%E -1.64%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 11:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.19%EV -8.36%E -5.29%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -10.29%E -2.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.17%EV -11.26%E -7.36%K -21.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -10.29%E -2.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -10.90%E -2.99%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-13 11:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.81%EV -13.58%E -9.12%K -27.72%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.18%EV -10.29%E -2.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.01%EV -10.90%E -2.99%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -1.40%E -0.825%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -1.40%E -0.825%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -1.40%E -0.825%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 11:05
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -2.56%E -1.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -10.90%E -2.99%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 12:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -2.56%E -1.53%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -10.90%E -2.99%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 12:00
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 11:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -6.04%E -3.73%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 11:59
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -7.78%E -4.89%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -4.80%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -6.62%E -4.11%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 10:55
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 11:55
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 12:00
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -7.20%E -4.50%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -13.34%E -3.76%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 11:55
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -10.10%E -6.52%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 11:20
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 11:41
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.05%EV -10.10%E -6.52%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -12.05%E -2.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 11:51
NetBet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.53%EV -11.84%E -7.79%K -22.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.84%EV -13.81%E -2.82%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -13.34%E -3.76%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-13 11:55
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.57%E -3.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.57%E -3.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 11:59
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -15.57%E -3.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 11:36
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.72%EV -8.94%E -5.70%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.55%EV -15.57%E -3.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 11:36
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.47%EV -9.52%E -6.10%K -17.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -15.57%E -3.24%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-13 12:00
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.13%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -16.45%E -3.46%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 12:00
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.13%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -16.45%E -3.46%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 12:00
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -16.45%E -3.46%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -15.78%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 11:05
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -4.30%E -2.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -16.45%E -3.46%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -15.78%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 11:01
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.97%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.06%EV -17.32%E -3.69%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -15.78%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.61%EV -4.88%E -2.98%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -17.32%E -3.69%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -17.00%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.76%EV -5.46%E -3.35%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -17.32%E -3.69%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -17.00%E -5.00%K -7.08%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 11:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.12%EV -10.10%E -6.52%K -18.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -20.84%E -4.63%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.89%EV -19.44%E -5.89%K -8.45%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-13 12:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.99%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93%0.3%2026-09-13 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.81%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-09-13 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.81%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-09-13 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.81%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-09-13 11:55
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.76%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.31%1.3%2026-09-13 11:55
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.92%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.65%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.2%2026-09-13 11:25