La scuola delle quote

Sporting Gijón v CD Castellón

Inizio: 2026-03-15 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sporting Gijón (Casa)

Previsione 28.35%3.53quota equa
EV -0.215%
Vantaggio -0.061%
Kelly -0.085%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.52%28.35%28.35%29.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.233.203.5233.90%31.00%31.25%28.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

CD Castellón (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.87%2.23quota equa
EV -3.09%
Vantaggio -1.43%
Kelly -2.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.22%44.82%44.91%45.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.832.052.052.1654.64%48.75%48.78%46.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.78%3.73quota equa
EV -3.31%
Vantaggio -0.916%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.88%26.84%26.75%28.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.373.403.6134.72%29.64%29.41%27.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -0.215%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 19:35
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 19:15
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -6.23%E -2.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 19:05
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -6.23%E -2.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 19:05
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 19:09
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 19:35
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 19:40
Marathon Bet3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -4.18%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.28%EV -7.57%E -3.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -7.86%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 19:30
BetAnything3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.37%E -4.64%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 19:55
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.39%EV -8.92%E -4.39%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 19:35
1xBet3.31I 30.21%NM 28.69%EV -6.17%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.01%EV -5.33%E -2.53%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.31%EV -3.31%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 19:50
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.45%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -3.54%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 19:15
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.45%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 19:05
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -6.45%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 19:40
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 19:18
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 19:15
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 19:15
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 19:15
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 19:15
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 19:15
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 19:40
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 19:15
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 19:35
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 19:55
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -11.16%E -5.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 19:40
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -14.29%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 19:40
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 19:30
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 19:15
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 19:15
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 19:15
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 19:50
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 19:55
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -9.37%E -4.64%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 19:40
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 19:40
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 19:40
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 17:35
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 19:15
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 19:15
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 17:35
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 17:35
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.39%EV -7.12%E -3.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 19:15
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.39%EV -7.12%E -3.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 19:15
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.94%EV -8.92%E -4.39%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.28%EV -12.41%E -3.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 19:35
Parions Sport (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.29%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 19:35
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 19:30
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.09%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 45.39%EV -17.00%E -9.19%K -19.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.53%EV -18.31%E -6.00%K -8.93%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 26.52%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 44.93%EV -17.89%E -9.78%K -21.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.55%EV -22.86%E -7.94%K -12.16%G +0.000%21.6%2026-03-15 19:40
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.04%EV -10.71%E -5.38%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.22%EV -13.75%E -4.27%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-15 19:55
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.42%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.91%EV -13.41%E -6.95%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.76%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-15 19:53
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -16.37%E -5.55%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-15 17:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-03-15 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-03-15 19:55
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-03-15 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.03%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-03-15 19:55
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-03-15 19:45
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 26.95%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%3.9%2026-03-15 19:30