L’École des cotes

Sporting Gijón v CD Castellón

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sporting Gijón (Local)

Prévision 28.35%3.53cote équitable
EV -0.215%
Avantage -0.061%
Kelly -0.085%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.52%28.35%28.35%29.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.233.203.5233.90%31.00%31.25%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

CD Castellón (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.87%2.23cote équitable
EV -3.09%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -2.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.22%44.82%44.91%45.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.832.052.052.1654.64%48.75%48.78%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.78%3.73cote équitable
EV -3.31%
Avantage -0.916%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.88%26.84%26.75%28.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.373.403.6134.72%29.64%29.41%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -0.215%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 19:35
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 19:15
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -6.23%E -2.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 19:05
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -6.23%E -2.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 19:05
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 19:09
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 19:35
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 19:40
Marathon Bet3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -4.18%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.28%EV -7.57%E -3.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -7.86%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 19:30
BetAnything3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.37%E -4.64%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 19:55
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.39%EV -8.92%E -4.39%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 19:35
1xBet3.31I 30.21%NM 28.69%EV -6.17%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.01%EV -5.33%E -2.53%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.31%EV -3.31%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 19:50
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.45%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -3.54%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 19:15
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.45%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 19:05
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -6.45%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 19:40
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 19:18
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 19:15
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 19:15
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 19:15
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 19:15
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 19:15
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 19:40
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 19:15
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 19:35
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 19:55
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -11.16%E -5.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 19:40
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -14.29%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 19:40
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 19:30
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 19:15
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 19:15
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 19:15
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 19:50
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 19:55
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -9.37%E -4.64%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 19:40
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 19:40
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 19:40
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 17:35
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 19:15
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 19:15
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 17:35
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 17:35
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.39%EV -7.12%E -3.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 19:15
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.39%EV -7.12%E -3.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 19:15
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.94%EV -8.92%E -4.39%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.28%EV -12.41%E -3.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 19:35
Parions Sport (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.29%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 19:35
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 19:30
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.09%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 45.39%EV -17.00%E -9.19%K -19.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.53%EV -18.31%E -6.00%K -8.93%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 26.52%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 44.93%EV -17.89%E -9.78%K -21.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.55%EV -22.86%E -7.94%K -12.16%G +0.000%21.6%2026-03-15 19:40
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.04%EV -10.71%E -5.38%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.22%EV -13.75%E -4.27%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-15 19:55
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.42%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.91%EV -13.41%E -6.95%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.76%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-15 19:53
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -16.37%E -5.55%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-15 17:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-03-15 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-03-15 19:55
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-03-15 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.03%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-03-15 19:55
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-03-15 19:45
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 26.95%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%3.9%2026-03-15 19:30