La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Sporting Gijón v CD Castellón
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sporting Gijón (Local)
Predicción 28.35%3.53momio equitativo
EV -0.215%
Ventaja -0.061%
Kelly -0.085%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.52%28.35%28.35%29.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.233.203.5233.90%31.00%31.25%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
CD Castellón (Visitante)
Predicción 44.87%2.23momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -2.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.22%44.82%44.91%45.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.832.052.052.1654.64%48.75%48.78%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.78%3.73momio equitativo
EV -3.31%
Ventaja -0.916%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.88%26.84%26.75%28.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.373.403.6134.72%29.64%29.41%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -0.215%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-15 19:35 |
| Coolbet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 19:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -6.23%E -2.98%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -6.23%E -2.98%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 19:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 19:35 |
| SportsBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -4.18%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.28%EV -7.57%E -3.68%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -7.86%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 19:30 |
| BetAnything | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.37%E -4.64%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 19:55 |
| Bovada | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.39%EV -8.92%E -4.39%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-15 19:35 |
| 1xBet | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.69%EV -6.17%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.01%EV -5.33%E -2.53%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.31%EV -3.31%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 19:50 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.45%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -3.54%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 19:15 |
| DraftKings | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.45%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 19:05 |
| Paddy Power | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -6.45%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Unibet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 19:18 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 19:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-15 19:15 |
| theScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 19:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 19:15 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 19:55 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -11.16%E -5.64%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -14.29%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 19:30 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 19:15 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 19:15 |
| betPARX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-15 19:15 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 19:50 |
| William Hill | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-15 19:55 |
| PlayUp | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -9.37%E -4.64%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-15 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Neds | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 17:35 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 19:15 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-15 19:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 17:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-15 17:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.39%EV -7.12%E -3.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-15 19:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.39%EV -7.12%E -3.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-15 19:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.94%EV -8.92%E -4.39%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 27.28%EV -12.41%E -3.80%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-15 19:35 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.29%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-15 19:35 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-15 19:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.09%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 45.39%EV -17.00%E -9.19%K -19.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.53%EV -18.31%E -6.00%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.52%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 44.93%EV -17.89%E -9.78%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.55%EV -22.86%E -7.94%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 21.6% | 2026-03-15 19:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.04%EV -10.71%E -5.38%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.22%EV -13.75%E -4.27%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-15 19:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.42%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.91%EV -13.41%E -6.95%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-15 19:53 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -16.37%E -5.55%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-15 17:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 19:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.03% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99% | 1.5% | 2026-03-15 19:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26% | 1.9% | 2026-03-15 19:45 |
| Kalshi | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.95% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.17% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89% | 3.9% | 2026-03-15 19:30 |