مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sporting Gijón v CD Castellón

البداية: 2026-03-15 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sporting Gijón (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.35%3.53السعر العادل
EV -0.215%
الأفضلية -0.061%
Kelly -0.085%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.52

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.52%28.35%28.35%29.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.953.233.203.5233.90%31.00%31.25%28.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

CD Castellón (الضيف)

التنبؤ 44.87%2.23السعر العادل
EV -3.09%
الأفضلية -1.43%
Kelly -2.66%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.16

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.22%44.82%44.91%45.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.832.052.052.1654.64%48.75%48.78%46.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.78%3.73السعر العادل
EV -3.31%
الأفضلية -0.916%
Kelly -1.27%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.88%26.84%26.75%28.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.373.403.6134.72%29.64%29.41%27.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.52I 28.41%NM 27.49%EV -0.215%E -0.061%K -0.085%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 19:35
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 19:15
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -6.23%E -2.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 19:05
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.55%EV -6.23%E -2.98%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 19:05
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 19:09
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 19:35
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -3.62%E -1.06%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 19:40
Marathon Bet3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -4.18%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.28%EV -7.57%E -3.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -7.86%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 19:30
BetAnything3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -9.37%E -4.64%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 19:55
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -5.03%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.39%EV -8.92%E -4.39%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 19:35
1xBet3.31I 30.21%NM 28.69%EV -6.17%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.01%EV -5.33%E -2.53%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.31%EV -3.31%E -0.916%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 19:50
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -6.45%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -3.54%E -1.64%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 19:15
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.45%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 19:05
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -6.45%E -1.96%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 19:40
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 19:18
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 19:15
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 19:15
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 19:15
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -3.09%E -1.43%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 19:15
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 19:15
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -3.58%E -0.993%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 19:40
PointsBet (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 19:15
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 19:35
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 19:55
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.98%EV -11.16%E -5.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 19:40
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -7.87%E -2.42%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -14.29%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 19:40
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 19:30
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 19:15
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 19:15
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 19:15
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 19:50
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 19:55
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -9.37%E -4.64%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 19:40
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 19:40
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.29%E -2.90%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 19:40
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 17:35
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 19:15
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -10.70%E -3.40%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 19:15
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -5.78%E -2.75%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-15 17:35
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 17:35
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.39%EV -7.12%E -3.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 19:15
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.39%EV -7.12%E -3.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 19:15
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.94%EV -8.92%E -4.39%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.28%EV -12.41%E -3.80%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 19:35
Parions Sport (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -14.29%E -4.47%K -6.50%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 19:35
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.05%EV -12.51%E -6.41%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 19:30
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.09%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 45.39%EV -17.00%E -9.19%K -19.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.53%EV -18.31%E -6.00%K -8.93%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-15 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 26.52%EV -12.12%E -3.91%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 44.93%EV -17.89%E -9.78%K -21.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.55%EV -22.86%E -7.94%K -12.16%G +0.000%21.6%2026-03-15 19:40
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.04%EV -10.71%E -5.38%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.22%EV -13.75%E -4.27%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-15 19:55
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.42%EV -13.54%E -4.44%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.91%EV -13.41%E -6.95%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.76%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-15 19:53
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.68%EV -16.37%E -5.55%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.78%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-15 17:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-03-15 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-03-15 19:55
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.80%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-03-15 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.03%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%1.5%2026-03-15 19:55
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.26%1.9%2026-03-15 19:45
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 26.95%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%3.9%2026-03-15 19:30