Language:English
Sporting Gijón v Burgos CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sporting Gijón (Local)
Prediction 46.76%2.14fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.35%46.70%46.78%49.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.971.972.0654.05%50.70%50.76%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Burgos CF (Visit)
Prediction 24.03%4.16fair odd
EV +0.934%
Edge +0.222%
Kelly +0.292%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.62%24.12%24.07%26.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.793.754.2029.41%26.41%26.67%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.21%3.42fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.86%29.18%29.14%30.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.083.053.3135.71%32.43%32.79%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sporting Gijón (Local): 46.76%; Burgos CF (Visit): 24.03%; Draw: 29.21%. For Burgos CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.934%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.50%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV +0.934%E +0.222%K +0.292%G +0.003% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.88%EV -7.12%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.62%EV -5.08%E -2.50%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.18%EV +0.213%E +0.051%K +0.067%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.20%EV -3.32%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -1.47%E -0.358%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.09%EV -9.29%E -4.79%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -1.47%E -0.358%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.09%EV -9.29%E -4.79%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -1.47%E -0.358%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.09%EV -9.29%E -4.79%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -1.47%E -0.358%K -0.474%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.91%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -2.67%E -0.659%K -0.876%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.02%EV -5.95%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -5.55%E -2.75%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -3.87%E -0.968%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -3.87%E -0.968%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 16:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.56%E -6.72%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -3.87%E -0.968%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.74%EV -3.68%E -1.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -5.07%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 16:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.74%EV -3.68%E -1.78%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -5.07%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 16:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.92%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -5.07%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 16:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -5.07%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-23 16:48 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%EV -7.88%E -4.00%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 16:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 16:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 16:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -5.55%E -2.75%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -5.55%E -2.75%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 16:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 16:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.70%EV -7.42%E -3.75%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-23 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.60%EV -7.88%E -4.00%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.45%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.60%EV -7.88%E -4.00%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.45%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 16:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.60%EV -7.88%E -4.00%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.45%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.60%EV -7.88%E -4.00%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.45%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 16:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-23 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-23 16:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 24.13%EV -10.36%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.71%EV -11.50%E -3.79%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 16:42 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.08%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.25%EV -6.01%E -2.99%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -12.28%E -3.37%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.44%EV -9.29%E -4.79%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.15%EV -12.28%E -3.37%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-23 16:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.44%EV -9.29%E -4.79%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.15%EV -12.28%E -3.37%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-23 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.44%EV -9.29%E -4.79%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.15%EV -12.28%E -3.37%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-23 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.95%EV -13.50%E -7.29%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.80%EV -12.28%E -3.37%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.25%EV -13.25%E -4.46%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.48%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.56%EV -8.35%E -4.26%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -14.69%E -4.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.43%EV -12.09%E -6.43%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.06%EV -14.69%E -4.14%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.51%EV -18.22%E -6.51%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-08-23 16:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.89%E -4.54%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.89%E -4.54%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -18.29%E -5.38%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -18.29%E -5.38%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -18.29%E -5.38%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -18.29%E -5.38%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 16:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.99% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 24.00% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01% | -0.1% | 2026-08-23 16:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90% | 1.8% | 2026-08-23 16:55 |