Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sporting Gijón v Burgos CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 17:00 UTC

Score final : Sporting Gijón 1–0 Burgos CF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sporting Gijón (Local)

Prévision 46.76%2.14cote équitable
EV -3.68%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -3.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.35%46.70%46.78%49.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.851.971.972.0654.05%50.70%50.76%48.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Burgos CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.03%4.16cote équitable
EV +0.934%
Avantage +0.222%
Kelly +0.292%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.62%24.12%24.07%26.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.793.754.2029.41%26.41%26.67%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.21%3.42cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -1.00%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.86%29.18%29.14%30.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.083.053.3135.71%32.43%32.79%30.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sporting Gijón (Local) : 46.76% ; Burgos CF (Visiteur) : 24.03% ; Match nul : 29.21%. Pour Burgos CF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.16. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.20, soit une espérance positive de +0.934%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.50%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV +0.934%E +0.222%K +0.292%G +0.003%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.88%EV -7.12%E -2.24%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.62%EV -5.08%E -2.50%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.18%EV +0.213%E +0.051%K +0.067%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.20%EV -3.32%E -1.00%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-23 16:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -1.47%E -0.358%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.09%EV -9.29%E -4.79%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -1.47%E -0.358%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 16:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.09%EV -9.29%E -4.79%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -1.47%E -0.358%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 16:55
BetAnything🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.09%EV -9.29%E -4.79%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -1.47%E -0.358%K -0.474%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.91%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -2.67%E -0.659%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.02%EV -5.95%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 16:54
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -5.55%E -2.75%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -3.87%E -0.968%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 16:54
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -3.87%E -0.968%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.56%E -6.72%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -3.87%E -0.968%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 16:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.74%EV -3.68%E -1.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -5.07%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 16:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.74%EV -3.68%E -1.78%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -5.07%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 16:34
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.92%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -5.07%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 16:49
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.33%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -5.07%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 16:48
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%EV -7.88%E -4.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -6.28%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 16:45
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -3.61%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 16:54
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 16:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 16:34
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 16:35
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-23 16:54
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -8.68%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.07%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -5.55%E -2.75%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 16:39
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.43%EV -5.55%E -2.75%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 16:39
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 16:55
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 16:53
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 16:54
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.70%EV -7.42%E -3.75%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 16:45
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.60%EV -7.88%E -4.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.45%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.60%EV -7.88%E -4.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.45%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 16:34
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.60%EV -7.88%E -4.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.45%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 16:35
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.60%EV -7.88%E -4.00%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.45%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-23 16:35
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-23 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -10.69%E -5.60%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -9.88%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-23 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.13%EV -10.36%E -2.78%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.71%EV -11.50%E -3.79%K -5.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 16:42
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.82%E -4.52%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -11.08%E -3.00%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-23 16:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.25%EV -6.01%E -2.99%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -12.28%E -3.37%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.44%EV -9.29%E -4.79%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.15%EV -12.28%E -3.37%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-23 16:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.44%EV -9.29%E -4.79%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.15%EV -12.28%E -3.37%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-23 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.44%EV -9.29%E -4.79%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.15%EV -12.28%E -3.37%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.40%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-23 16:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.95%EV -13.50%E -7.29%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.80%EV -12.28%E -3.37%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.25%EV -13.25%E -4.46%K -6.73%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-23 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.48%E -3.75%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 16:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.56%EV -8.35%E -4.26%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.16%EV -14.69%E -4.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.28%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 16:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.43%EV -12.09%E -6.43%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.06%EV -14.69%E -4.14%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.51%EV -18.22%E -6.51%K -10.12%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-23 16:35
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -4.14%E -2.02%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -15.89%E -4.54%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 16:39
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.89%E -4.54%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 16:15
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -18.29%E -5.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -18.29%E -5.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 16:39
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -18.29%E -5.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -6.48%E -3.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -18.29%E -5.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 16:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.99%4.17I 23.98%NM 24.00%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.01%-0.1%2026-08-23 16:50
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.89%0.3%2026-08-23 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-08-23 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-08-23 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-08-23 16:55
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%1.8%2026-08-23 16:55