Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SD Huesca v Almería

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 19:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SD Huesca (Local)

Prediction 27.37%3.65fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.407%
Kelly -0.564%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.19%27.35%27.47%28.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.253.6032.26%30.11%30.77%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Almería (Visit)

Prediction 43.65%2.29fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.05%43.61%43.66%44.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.102.122.2252.63%47.65%47.17%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.97%3.45fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -0.876%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.00%29.04%28.87%30.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.173.203.3535.71%31.52%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SD Huesca (Local): 27.37%; Almería (Visit): 43.65%; Draw: 28.97%. For SD Huesca (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.47%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -1.47%E -0.407%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.56%EV -3.09%E -1.39%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.57%EV -5.25%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 19:15
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -1.47%E -0.407%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.00%EV -5.27%E -2.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.47%EV -6.12%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -1.47%E -0.407%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.00%EV -5.27%E -2.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.47%EV -6.12%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.64%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.12%EV -6.70%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 19:05
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 19:10
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 18:43
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.33%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 18:49
1xBet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.29%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.37%EV -6.58%E -3.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.93%E -0.876%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 19:25
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 19:00
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 18:40
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.33%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 18:45
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.33%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 18:45
Bovada🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.31%EV -7.02%E -3.29%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -9.60%E -3.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 19:02
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.31%EV -7.02%E -3.29%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -9.60%E -3.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 19:05
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-20 19:25
theScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 15:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 19:00
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -9.20%E -4.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-20 18:50
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-20 18:45
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-20 18:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.69%E -6.35%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-20 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 27.22%EV -10.22%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.98%EV -11.38%E -5.61%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-20 19:09
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:19
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:19
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.33%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-20 18:44
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-20 19:25
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-20 19:05
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-20 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-20 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-20 18:45
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-20 18:45
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-20 18:39
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-20 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -12.69%E -6.35%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -11.63%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-20 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.53%EV -14.00%E -7.11%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.48%EV -10.76%E -3.49%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-20 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.19%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.88%EV -16.62%E -8.70%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.93%EV -18.87%E -6.74%K -10.48%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-20 18:39
NetBet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -13.78%E -4.38%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -12.69%E -6.35%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.63%EV -11.63%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-20 19:24
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 26.75%EV -15.15%E -4.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 43.64%EV -17.06%E -8.98%K -18.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.61%EV -18.87%E -6.74%K -10.48%G +0.000%20.6%2026-03-20 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-03-20 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-03-20 19:25
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-03-20 19:25
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-03-20 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-03-20 19:25
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.68%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.12%3.1%2026-03-20 18:50