La escuela de los momios

SD Huesca v Almería

Inicio: 2026-03-20 19:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SD Huesca (Local)

Predicción 27.37%3.65momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.407%
Kelly -0.564%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.19%27.35%27.47%28.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.323.253.6032.26%30.11%30.77%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Almería (Visitante)

Predicción 43.65%2.29momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -2.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.05%43.61%43.66%44.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.102.122.2252.63%47.65%47.17%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.97%3.45momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -0.876%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.00%29.04%28.87%30.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.173.203.3535.71%31.52%31.25%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -1.47%E -0.407%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.56%EV -3.09%E -1.39%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.57%EV -5.25%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 19:15
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -1.47%E -0.407%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.00%EV -5.27%E -2.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.47%EV -6.12%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:05
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -1.47%E -0.407%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.00%EV -5.27%E -2.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.47%EV -6.12%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:05
Marathon Bet3.52I 28.41%NM 26.64%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.12%EV -6.70%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 19:05
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 19:10
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 18:43
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.33%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 18:49
1xBet3.48I 28.74%NM 27.29%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.37%EV -6.58%E -3.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.93%E -0.876%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 19:25
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 19:00
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 19:20
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 18:40
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.33%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 18:45
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.33%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 18:45
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.31%EV -7.02%E -3.29%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -9.60%E -3.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 19:02
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.31%EV -7.02%E -3.29%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -9.60%E -3.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 19:05
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-20 19:25
theScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 18:39
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 15:15
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 19:00
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 18:39
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:20
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -9.20%E -4.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-20 18:50
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-20 18:45
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-20 18:55
Parions Sport (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.69%E -6.35%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-20 19:10
Betclic (FR)3.28I 30.49%NM 27.22%EV -10.22%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.98%EV -11.38%E -5.61%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-20 19:09
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:19
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:19
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:19
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.33%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-20 18:44
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-20 19:25
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-20 19:05
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-20 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-20 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-20 18:45
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-20 18:45
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-20 18:39
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-20 19:25
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -12.69%E -6.35%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -11.63%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-20 18:45
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.53%EV -14.00%E -7.11%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.48%EV -10.76%E -3.49%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-20 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.19%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.88%EV -16.62%E -8.70%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.93%EV -18.87%E -6.74%K -10.48%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-20 18:39
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -13.78%E -4.38%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -12.69%E -6.35%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.63%EV -11.63%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-20 19:24
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 26.75%EV -15.15%E -4.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 43.64%EV -17.06%E -8.98%K -18.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.61%EV -18.87%E -6.74%K -10.48%G +0.000%20.6%2026-03-20 19:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-03-20 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-03-20 19:25
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-03-20 19:25
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-03-20 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-03-20 19:25
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.68%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.12%3.1%2026-03-20 18:50