L’École des cotes

SD Huesca v Almería

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 19:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SD Huesca (Local)

Prévision 27.37%3.65cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.407%
Kelly -0.564%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.19%27.35%27.47%28.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.323.253.6032.26%30.11%30.77%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Almería (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.65%2.29cote équitable
EV -3.09%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -2.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.05%43.61%43.66%44.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.102.122.2252.63%47.65%47.17%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.97%3.45cote équitable
EV -2.93%
Avantage -0.876%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.00%29.04%28.87%30.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.173.203.3535.71%31.52%31.25%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.60I 27.78%NM 26.86%EV -1.47%E -0.407%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.56%EV -3.09%E -1.39%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.57%EV -5.25%E -1.61%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 19:15
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -1.47%E -0.407%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.00%EV -5.27%E -2.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.47%EV -6.12%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:05
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -1.47%E -0.407%K -0.564%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.00%EV -5.27%E -2.43%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.47%EV -6.12%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 19:05
Marathon Bet3.52I 28.41%NM 26.64%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.23%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.12%EV -6.70%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-20 19:05
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-20 19:10
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 18:43
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.20%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.33%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 18:49
1xBet3.48I 28.74%NM 27.29%EV -4.75%E -1.36%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.37%EV -6.58%E -3.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -2.93%E -0.876%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 19:25
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 19:00
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 19:20
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 18:40
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.33%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 18:45
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.33%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-20 18:45
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.31%EV -7.02%E -3.29%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -9.60%E -3.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 19:02
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.31%EV -7.02%E -3.29%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.56%EV -9.60%E -3.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-20 19:05
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-20 19:25
theScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.83%E -1.79%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-20 18:39
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.31%E -2.48%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-20 15:15
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -3.96%E -1.80%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 19:00
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-20 18:39
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-20 19:20
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -9.20%E -4.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -8.73%E -2.77%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-20 18:50
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-20 18:45
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-20 18:55
Parions Sport (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -12.69%E -6.35%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-20 19:10
Betclic (FR)3.28I 30.49%NM 27.22%EV -10.22%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.98%EV -11.38%E -5.61%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-20 19:09
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:19
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:19
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:19
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -7.45%E -3.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.38%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-20 19:20
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.33%E -3.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.28%E -2.28%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-20 18:44
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-20 19:25
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -6.14%E -2.86%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-20 19:05
Neds3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-20 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-20 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-20 18:45
Coral3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-20 18:45
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.18%E -3.28%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-20 18:39
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -10.51%E -5.13%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -13.08%E -4.36%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-20 19:25
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -12.69%E -6.35%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -11.63%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-20 18:45
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.53%EV -14.00%E -7.11%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.48%EV -10.76%E -3.49%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-20 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 26.19%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.88%EV -16.62%E -8.70%K -18.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.93%EV -18.87%E -6.74%K -10.48%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-20 18:39
NetBet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.72%EV -13.78%E -4.38%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -12.69%E -6.35%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.63%EV -11.63%E -3.81%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-20 19:24
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 26.75%EV -15.15%E -4.89%K -7.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 43.64%EV -17.06%E -8.98%K -18.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.61%EV -18.87%E -6.74%K -10.48%G +0.000%20.6%2026-03-20 19:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-03-20 19:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-03-20 19:25
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.17%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-03-20 19:25
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-03-20 19:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.97%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%1.5%2026-03-20 19:25
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.68%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.12%3.1%2026-03-20 18:50