Language:English
SD Eibar v Las Palmas
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SD Eibar (Local)
Prediction 38.11%2.62fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.75%38.10%38.06%38.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.422.432.5545.45%41.35%41.15%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Las Palmas (Visit)
Prediction 30.31%3.30fair odd
EV -0.570%
Edge -0.174%
Kelly -0.250%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.08%30.30%30.32%31.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.982.993.2836.36%33.55%33.50%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.58%3.17fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.682%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.77%31.60%31.62%32.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.882.903.1038.46%34.66%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SD Eibar (Local): 38.11%; Las Palmas (Visit): 30.31%; Draw: 31.58%. For Las Palmas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.28, with an expected value of -0.570%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-26 05:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-26 05:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-26 05:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-26 05:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-26 05:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.36%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.88%EV -2.69%E -0.839%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.76%EV -4.64%E -1.54%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -6.03%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -2.11%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-25 12:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.15%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.08%EV -0.570%E -0.174%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.77%EV -8.11%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-26 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-25 11:53 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.09%EV -5.49%E -2.21%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.72%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-26 05:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.09%EV -5.49%E -2.21%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.72%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-26 05:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.09%EV -5.49%E -2.21%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.72%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-26 05:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.09%EV -5.49%E -2.21%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.72%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-26 05:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -5.49%E -2.21%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.87%EV -9.06%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-26 05:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.00%E -0.936%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-25 11:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-26 12:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-27 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-25 11:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-25 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-25 11:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -6.03%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-27 12:12 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-26 05:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.34%EV -7.39%E -3.04%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -5.42%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.80%EV -7.48%E -2.55%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -7.39%E -3.04%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-26 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.96%EV -7.39%E -3.04%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.97%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-26 05:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.96%EV -7.39%E -3.04%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.97%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-26 05:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 37.75%EV -8.16%E -3.38%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-25 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-25 11:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-26 17:26 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.03%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-26 10:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.03%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-26 10:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-27 09:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-25 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-25 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-25 11:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-25 11:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.70%E -4.41%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-27 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.70%E -4.41%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-27 09:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -12.70%E -4.41%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -9.06%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-26 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.68%E -4.08%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.00%E -4.53%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-27 09:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.68%E -4.08%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.00%E -4.53%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-27 09:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -11.20%E -4.81%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.08%EV -9.97%E -3.36%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.57%EV -10.64%E -3.76%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-27 12:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.45%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-27 12:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.45%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-27 12:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.26%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -13.61%E -4.77%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-25 11:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.75%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.74%EV -16.64%E -6.05%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.51%EV -17.90%E -6.89%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-03-25 11:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.34%EV -13.49%E -5.94%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.65%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-28 00:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -16.16%E -7.34%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -16.64%E -6.05%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-03-27 12:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -16.16%E -7.34%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -16.64%E -6.05%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-03-25 11:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34% | 1.4% | 2026-03-28 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.02% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.70% | 1.9% | 2026-03-28 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.02% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.70% | 1.9% | 2026-03-28 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.02% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.70% | 1.9% | 2026-03-28 02:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.22% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.36% | 3.0% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.45% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 14:55 |