La escuela de los momios

SD Eibar v Las Palmas

Inicio: 2026-03-29 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SD Eibar (Local)

Predicción 38.11%2.62momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -1.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.75%38.10%38.06%38.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.422.432.5545.45%41.35%41.15%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Las Palmas (Visitante)

Predicción 30.31%3.30momio equitativo
EV -0.570%
Ventaja -0.174%
Kelly -0.250%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.08%30.30%30.32%31.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.982.993.2836.36%33.55%33.50%30.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.58%3.17momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -0.682%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.77%31.60%31.62%32.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.882.903.1038.46%34.66%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 05:44
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 05:44
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 05:44
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 05:54
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 05:54
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.36%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.88%EV -2.69%E -0.839%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.76%EV -4.64%E -1.54%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 03:00
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -6.03%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -2.11%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-25 12:14
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.15%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.08%EV -0.570%E -0.174%K -0.250%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.77%EV -8.11%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 17:30
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-25 11:53
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.09%EV -5.49%E -2.21%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.72%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-26 05:45
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.09%EV -5.49%E -2.21%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.72%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-26 05:44
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.09%EV -5.49%E -2.21%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.72%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-26 05:44
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.09%EV -5.49%E -2.21%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.72%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-26 05:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -5.49%E -2.21%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.87%EV -9.06%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-26 05:45
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.00%E -0.936%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 11:54
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 12:40
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 14:10
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-25 11:54
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-25 11:55
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-25 11:54
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -6.03%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 12:12
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-26 05:44
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.34%EV -7.39%E -3.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -5.42%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.80%EV -7.48%E -2.55%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 03:00
Bovada2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -7.39%E -3.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-26 17:25
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.96%EV -7.39%E -3.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.97%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-26 05:44
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.96%EV -7.39%E -3.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.97%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-26 05:44
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 37.75%EV -8.16%E -3.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-25 11:55
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-28 00:10
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-25 11:54
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-26 17:26
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.03%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-26 10:24
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.03%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-26 10:34
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 09:04
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-25 11:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-25 17:20
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-25 11:54
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-25 11:55
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.70%E -4.41%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-27 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.70%E -4.41%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-27 09:04
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -12.70%E -4.41%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -9.06%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-26 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.68%E -4.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.00%E -4.53%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-27 09:05
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.68%E -4.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.00%E -4.53%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-27 09:05
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -11.20%E -4.81%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.08%EV -9.97%E -3.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.57%EV -10.64%E -3.76%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-27 12:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.45%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-27 12:15
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.45%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-27 12:14
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.26%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -13.61%E -4.77%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-25 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.75%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.74%EV -16.64%E -6.05%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.51%EV -17.90%E -6.89%K -11.19%G +0.000%18.3%2026-03-25 11:55
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 38.34%EV -13.49%E -5.94%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.65%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-28 00:10
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -16.16%E -7.34%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -16.64%E -6.05%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-27 12:14
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -16.16%E -7.34%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -16.64%E -6.05%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-25 11:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%1.4%2026-03-28 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.02%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.70%1.9%2026-03-28 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.02%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.70%1.9%2026-03-28 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.02%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.70%1.9%2026-03-28 02:05
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.22%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.36%3.0%2026-03-28 03:05
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 38.45%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69%4.0%2026-03-27 14:55