L’École des cotes

SD Eibar v Las Palmas

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-29 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SD Eibar (Local)

Prévision 38.11%2.62cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -1.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.75%38.10%38.06%38.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.422.432.5545.45%41.35%41.15%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Las Palmas (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.31%3.30cote équitable
EV -0.570%
Avantage -0.174%
Kelly -0.250%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.08%30.30%30.32%31.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.982.993.2836.36%33.55%33.50%30.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.58%3.17cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.682%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.77%31.60%31.62%32.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.882.903.1038.46%34.66%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 05:44
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 05:44
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 05:44
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 05:54
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.84%EV -2.82%E -1.11%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.85%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-26 05:54
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.36%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.88%EV -2.69%E -0.839%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.76%EV -4.64%E -1.54%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 03:00
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -6.03%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.86%EV -2.11%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-25 12:14
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.15%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.08%EV -0.570%E -0.174%K -0.250%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.77%EV -8.11%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 17:30
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.73%E -1.89%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-25 11:53
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.09%EV -5.49%E -2.21%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.72%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-26 05:45
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.09%EV -5.49%E -2.21%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.72%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-26 05:44
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.09%EV -5.49%E -2.21%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.72%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-26 05:44
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.09%EV -5.49%E -2.21%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.72%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-26 05:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -5.49%E -2.21%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.87%EV -9.06%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-26 05:45
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -3.00%E -0.936%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-25 11:54
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 12:40
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 14:10
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-25 11:54
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -7.54%E -2.47%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-25 11:55
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-25 11:54
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -6.03%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 12:12
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-26 05:44
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.34%EV -7.39%E -3.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -5.42%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.80%EV -7.48%E -2.55%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-28 03:00
Bovada2.43I 41.15%NM 37.89%EV -7.39%E -3.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -4.51%E -1.43%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-26 17:25
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.96%EV -7.39%E -3.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.97%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-26 05:44
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.96%EV -7.39%E -3.04%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.97%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-26 05:44
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 37.75%EV -8.16%E -3.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-25 11:55
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-28 00:10
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.97%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-25 11:54
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-26 17:26
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.03%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-26 10:24
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.03%E -1.94%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-26 10:34
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-27 09:04
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-25 11:55
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.54%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-25 17:20
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-25 11:54
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -9.06%E -3.02%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-25 11:55
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.70%E -4.41%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-27 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.78%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.22%EV -12.70%E -4.41%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.00%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-27 09:04
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -12.70%E -4.41%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -9.06%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-26 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.68%E -4.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.00%E -4.53%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-27 09:05
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -9.68%E -4.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -13.00%E -4.53%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-27 09:05
Betclic (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -11.20%E -4.81%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.08%EV -9.97%E -3.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.57%EV -10.64%E -3.76%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-27 12:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.45%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-27 12:15
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.45%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -10.57%E -3.58%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-27 12:14
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.26%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -13.61%E -4.77%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.87%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-25 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.75%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.74%EV -16.64%E -6.05%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.51%EV -17.90%E -6.89%K -11.19%G +0.000%18.3%2026-03-25 11:55
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 38.34%EV -13.49%E -5.94%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.01%EV -12.09%E -4.17%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.65%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-28 00:10
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -16.16%E -7.34%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -16.64%E -6.05%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-27 12:14
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.46%EV -16.16%E -7.34%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -16.64%E -6.05%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -13.16%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-25 11:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.34%1.4%2026-03-28 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.02%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.70%1.9%2026-03-28 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.02%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.70%1.9%2026-03-28 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.02%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.70%1.9%2026-03-28 02:05
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.22%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.36%3.0%2026-03-28 03:05
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 38.45%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.86%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.69%4.0%2026-03-27 14:55