Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.02
assuming max odds 4.13
assuming max odds 3.46
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SD Eibar (Local): 47.51%; Granada CF (Visit): 24.34%; Draw: 28.16%. For Granada CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.505%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.61%EV -5.46%E -2.74%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.42%EV +0.505%E +0.122%K +0.161%G +0.001% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.96%EV -2.57%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -12.11%E -6.55%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -0.225%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 11:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.66%E -0.665%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 11:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.66%E -0.665%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.66%E -0.665%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 11:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.66%E -0.665%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 11:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.25%EV -6.41%E -3.25%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.12%EV -4.12%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.63%EV -3.14%E -0.912%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.59%EV -8.79%E -4.58%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -4.61%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -4.83%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 11:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.09%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-06 11:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.45%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -5.09%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 11:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.20%EV -4.04%E -2.00%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 11:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.65%EV -8.79%E -4.58%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 11:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.65%EV -8.79%E -4.58%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 11:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.08%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 11:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 11:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 11:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -12.11%E -6.55%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -12.11%E -6.55%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.87%EV -10.69%E -5.69%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -12.11%E -6.55%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 11:56 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -9.74%E -5.13%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.45%EV -14.01%E -7.74%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-06 11:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -11.18%E -3.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 11:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.81%EV -13.06%E -7.14%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -11.18%E -3.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-06 11:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 11:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.26%E -4.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-06 11:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.60%EV -10.69%E -5.69%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 11:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.26%E -4.85%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.71%EV -9.74%E -5.13%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.71%EV -9.74%E -5.13%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.83%E -4.24%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 11:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.83%E -4.24%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 11:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.83%E -4.24%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.83%E -4.24%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 11:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -13.06%E -7.14%K -15.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -14.83%E -4.24%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -15.53%E -5.18%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-09-06 11:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.90% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.75% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35% | 2.2% | 2026-09-06 11:55 |