Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SD Eibar v Granada CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 12:00 UTC

Score final : SD Eibar 3–0 Granada CF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SD Eibar (Local)

Prévision 47.51%2.10cote équitable
EV -4.04%
Avantage -2.00%
Kelly -3.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.69%47.57%47.54%49.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.811.941.952.0255.25%51.67%51.28%49.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Granada CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.34%4.11cote équitable
EV +0.505%
Avantage +0.122%
Kelly +0.161%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.43%24.23%24.32%25.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.773.804.1328.57%26.55%26.32%24.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.16%3.55cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -0.743%
Kelly -1.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.49%28.20%28.14%29.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.223.203.4633.33%31.08%31.25%28.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : SD Eibar (Local) : 47.51% ; Granada CF (Visiteur) : 24.34% ; Match nul : 28.16%. Pour Granada CF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.11. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.13, soit une espérance positive de +0.505%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.61%EV -5.46%E -2.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.42%EV +0.505%E +0.122%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.96%EV -2.57%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -12.11%E -6.55%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -0.225%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 11:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.66%E -0.665%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.66%E -0.665%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:55
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.66%E -0.665%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:54
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.66%E -0.665%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 11:44
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.25%EV -6.41%E -3.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.12%EV -4.12%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.63%EV -3.14%E -0.912%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 11:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.59%EV -8.79%E -4.58%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -4.61%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -4.83%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 11:54
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.09%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 11:48
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.45%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -5.09%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:40
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.20%EV -4.04%E -2.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:25
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:25
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 11:53
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.65%EV -8.79%E -4.58%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:54
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.65%EV -8.79%E -4.58%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:54
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.08%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 11:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 11:35
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 11:40
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:55
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:55
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -12.11%E -6.55%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -12.11%E -6.55%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 11:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 11:10
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 11:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.87%EV -10.69%E -5.69%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 11:55
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -12.11%E -6.55%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 11:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 11:10
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -9.74%E -5.13%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 11:55
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 11:25
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 11:20
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 11:25
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 11:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.45%EV -14.01%E -7.74%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 11:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -11.18%E -3.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 11:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.81%EV -13.06%E -7.14%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -11.18%E -3.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 11:54
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:10
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 11:35
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.26%E -4.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 11:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.60%EV -10.69%E -5.69%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.26%E -4.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.71%EV -9.74%E -5.13%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.71%EV -9.74%E -5.13%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.83%E -4.24%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 11:35
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.83%E -4.24%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 11:35
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.83%E -4.24%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.83%E -4.24%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 11:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -13.06%E -7.14%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -14.83%E -4.24%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -15.53%E -5.18%K -7.76%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-06 11:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-09-06 11:55
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-09-06 11:55
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-06 11:45
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.90%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.75%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.2%2026-09-06 11:55