Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SD Eibar v Granada CF

Início: 2026-09-06 12:00 UTC

Final: SD Eibar 3–0 Granada CF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SD Eibar (Local)

Previsão 47.51%2.10odd justa
EV -4.04%
Vantagem -2.00%
Kelly -3.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.69%47.57%47.54%49.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.811.941.952.0255.25%51.67%51.28%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Granada CF (Visitante)

Previsão 24.34%4.11odd justa
EV +0.505%
Vantagem +0.122%
Kelly +0.161%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.43%24.23%24.32%25.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.773.804.1328.57%26.55%26.32%24.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.16%3.55odd justa
EV -2.57%
Vantagem -0.743%
Kelly -1.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.49%28.20%28.14%29.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.223.203.4633.33%31.08%31.25%28.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: SD Eibar (Local): 47.51%; Granada CF (Visitante): 24.34%; Empate: 28.16%. Para Granada CF (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.11. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.13, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.505%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.61%EV -5.46%E -2.74%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.42%EV +0.505%E +0.122%K +0.161%G +0.001%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.96%EV -2.57%E -0.743%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-06 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -12.11%E -6.55%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -0.225%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 11:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.66%E -0.665%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.66%E -0.665%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:55
BetAnything🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.52%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.66%E -0.665%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:54
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.66%E -0.665%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-06 11:44
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.25%EV -6.41%E -3.25%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.12%EV -4.12%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.63%EV -3.14%E -0.912%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 11:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.59%EV -8.79%E -4.58%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.80%EV -4.61%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -4.83%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 11:54
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.09%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.67%E -1.69%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 11:48
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.45%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -5.09%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:40
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.20%EV -4.04%E -2.00%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:25
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.05%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:25
Bovada🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 11:53
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.65%EV -8.79%E -4.58%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:54
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.65%EV -8.79%E -4.58%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:54
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.08%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -6.31%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.31%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 11:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 11:35
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 11:40
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:55
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.06%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:55
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -12.11%E -6.55%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -12.11%E -6.55%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.53%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 11:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.99%E -2.49%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.26%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 11:10
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 11:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.87%EV -10.69%E -5.69%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 11:55
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -12.11%E -6.55%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -8.74%E -2.33%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 11:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 11:10
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -9.74%E -5.13%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 11:55
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 11:25
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 11:20
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 11:25
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 11:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.45%EV -14.01%E -7.74%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.70%EV -9.96%E -2.69%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%EV -11.30%E -3.59%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-06 11:54
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -11.18%E -3.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.89%E -3.09%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 11:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.81%EV -13.06%E -7.14%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.97%EV -11.18%E -3.06%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-06 11:54
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.08%E -2.14%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 11:10
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 11:35
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -9.26%E -4.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 11:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.60%EV -10.69%E -5.69%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -8.49%E -2.61%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.26%E -4.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-06 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.71%EV -9.74%E -5.13%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.71%EV -9.74%E -5.13%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -12.39%E -3.44%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 11:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.83%E -4.24%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 11:35
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.83%E -4.24%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 11:35
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.83%E -4.24%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.36%E -3.78%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -14.83%E -4.24%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.71%E -4.10%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 11:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.89%EV -13.06%E -7.14%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.51%EV -14.83%E -4.24%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.60%EV -15.53%E -5.18%K -7.76%G +0.000%16.5%2026-09-06 11:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-09-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-09-06 11:55
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-09-06 11:55
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.07%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.51%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-06 11:45
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.90%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.75%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.2%2026-09-06 11:55