The School of Odds
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Sabadell FC v Oviedo

2026-09-20 12:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sabadell FC (Local)

Prediction 40.10%2.49fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.31%40.10%40.15%40.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.322.332.4347.62%43.18%42.92%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oviedo (Visit)

Prediction 28.13%3.56fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.92%28.13%28.16%29.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.133.103.4234.48%31.91%32.26%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.77%3.15fair odd
EV -4.68%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.91%31.77%31.69%32.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.832.803.0037.74%35.37%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sabadell FC (Local): 40.10%; Oviedo (Visit): 28.13%; Draw: 31.77%. For Sabadell FC (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.43, with an expected value of -2.55%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.50%EV -2.55%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.50%EV -2.55%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.50%EV -2.55%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.50%EV -2.55%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.50%EV -2.55%E -1.05%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 13:05
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.97%EV -3.75%E -1.56%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.05%EV -3.81%E -1.11%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.98%EV -4.68%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 12:45
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 13:05
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 13:05
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 13:05
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -5.76%E -2.45%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -12.81%E -4.13%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 13:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.52%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.52%EV -6.56%E -2.82%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.40%EV -6.96%E -3.00%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.21%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.39%EV -12.63%E -4.59%K -7.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 13:05
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.76%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -9.45%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 12:20
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.76%E -3.38%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.59%E -2.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -9.45%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -9.77%E -4.34%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -10.00%E -3.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -9.45%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-13 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 38.31%EV -10.57%E -4.74%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.46%EV -18.44%E -6.36%K -9.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.24%EV -15.80%E -5.96%K -9.58%G +0.000%17.1%2026-09-13 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -11.77%E -5.35%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -9.45%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 40.42%EV -12.98%E -5.98%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.02%EV -11.97%E -3.82%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.55%EV -11.67%E -4.20%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-13 12:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.25%EV -13.78%E -6.41%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.85%EV -15.62%E -5.21%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-13 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.55%EV -15.78%E -7.52%K -14.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.92%EV -14.22%E -4.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.54%EV -14.21%E -5.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%17.4%2026-09-13 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.