Language:English
Sabadell FC v Oviedo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sabadell FC (Local)
Prediction 41.29%2.42fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.72%41.31%41.33%42.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.252.252.3550.00%44.49%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Oviedo (Visit)
Prediction 27.05%3.70fair odd
EV +0.896%
Edge +0.240%
Kelly +0.328%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%27.09%27.05%28.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.353.333.7333.33%29.82%30.08%26.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.66%3.16fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.595%
Kelly -0.879%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.96%31.60%31.62%33.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.892.893.1037.04%34.64%34.60%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sabadell FC (Local): 41.29%; Oviedo (Visit): 27.05%; Draw: 31.66%. For Oviedo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.70. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.896%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.36%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.95%EV +0.896%E +0.240%K +0.328%G +0.003% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.70%EV -6.28%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 11:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -1.27%E -0.347%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -8.81%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -1.27%E -0.347%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -8.81%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -1.27%E -0.347%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -8.81%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 11:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.70%EV -7.93%E -3.56%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.74%EV -7.23%E -2.47%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.76%E -3.42%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 11:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -12.93%E -4.70%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.49%EV -5.45%E -2.38%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -6.41%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.05%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.85%E -0.595%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 11:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 11:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 11:58 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.51%E -5.37%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.51%E -5.37%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -8.34%E -3.76%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.38%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.38%EV -7.54%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-20 11:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -8.34%E -3.76%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.38%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.38%EV -7.54%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-20 11:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 11:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 11:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 11:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 11:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 10:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.76%E -3.42%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 11:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -13.30%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -14.51%E -5.37%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-20 11:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -8.81%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 11:41 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -13.44%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.76%E -3.42%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -13.44%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.76%E -3.42%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 11:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -13.44%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.76%E -3.42%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 11:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -13.44%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.76%E -3.42%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -14.79%E -4.70%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-20 11:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -14.79%E -4.70%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-20 11:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -14.79%E -4.70%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 11:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.93%EV -7.93%E -3.56%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -14.79%E -4.70%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-20 11:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.57%EV -17.43%E -8.71%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.03%EV -14.79%E -4.70%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.41%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-09-20 11:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.79%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -18.85%E -6.28%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -14.51%E -5.37%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-09-20 11:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 1.3% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79% | 1.7% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79% | 1.7% | 2026-09-20 11:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79% | 1.7% | 2026-09-20 11:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79% | 1.7% | 2026-09-20 11:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34% | 2.0% | 2026-09-20 11:44 |