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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Sabadell FC v Oviedo

Início: 2026-09-20 12:00 UTC

Final: Sabadell FC 3–1 Oviedo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sabadell FC (Local)

Previsão 41.29%2.42odd justa
EV -2.97%
Vantagem -1.27%
Kelly -2.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.72%41.31%41.33%42.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.252.252.3550.00%44.49%44.44%42.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Oviedo (Visitante)

Previsão 27.05%3.70odd justa
EV +0.896%
Vantagem +0.240%
Kelly +0.328%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.85%27.09%27.05%28.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.353.333.7333.33%29.82%30.08%26.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 31.66%3.16odd justa
EV -1.85%
Vantagem -0.595%
Kelly -0.879%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.96%31.60%31.62%33.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.892.893.1037.04%34.64%34.60%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sabadell FC (Local): 41.29%; Oviedo (Visitante): 27.05%; Empate: 31.66%. Para Oviedo (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.70. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.73, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.896%.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.36%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.95%EV +0.896%E +0.240%K +0.328%G +0.003%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.70%EV -6.28%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 11:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -1.27%E -0.347%K -0.478%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -8.81%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -1.27%E -0.347%K -0.478%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -8.81%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 11:54
BetAnything🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -1.27%E -0.347%K -0.478%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -8.81%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 11:54
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 11:49
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 11:59
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 11:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.70%EV -7.93%E -3.56%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.74%EV -7.23%E -2.47%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 11:54
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.76%E -3.42%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 11:49
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -12.93%E -4.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 11:59
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.49%EV -5.45%E -2.38%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -6.41%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.05%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 11:59
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.85%E -0.595%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 11:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 11:54
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 11:59
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 11:58
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 11:58
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 11:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 11:54
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.51%E -5.37%K -8.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 11:59
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.51%E -5.37%K -8.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 11:59
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -8.34%E -3.76%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.38%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.38%EV -7.54%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 11:44
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -8.34%E -3.76%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.38%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.38%EV -7.54%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 11:44
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 10:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.76%E -3.42%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 11:44
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -13.30%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 11:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -14.51%E -5.37%K -8.54%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 11:54
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 11:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 11:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -8.81%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 11:41
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -13.44%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.76%E -3.42%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 11:15
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -13.44%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.76%E -3.42%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 11:14
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -13.44%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.76%E -3.42%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 11:14
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -13.44%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.76%E -3.42%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 11:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -14.79%E -4.70%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 11:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -14.79%E -4.70%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 11:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -14.79%E -4.70%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.93%EV -7.93%E -3.56%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -14.79%E -4.70%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 11:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.57%EV -17.43%E -8.71%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.03%EV -14.79%E -4.70%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.41%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%17.5%2026-09-20 11:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.79%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -18.85%E -6.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -14.51%E -5.37%K -8.54%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-20 11:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%1.3%2026-09-20 11:54
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%1.7%2026-09-20 11:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%1.7%2026-09-20 11:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%1.7%2026-09-20 11:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%1.7%2026-09-20 11:49
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%2.0%2026-09-20 11:44