L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Sabadell FC v Oviedo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 12:00 UTC

Score final : Sabadell FC 3–1 Oviedo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sabadell FC (Local)

Prévision 41.29%2.42cote équitable
EV -2.97%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -2.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.72%41.31%41.33%42.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.252.252.3550.00%44.49%44.44%42.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Oviedo (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.05%3.70cote équitable
EV +0.896%
Avantage +0.240%
Kelly +0.328%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.85%27.09%27.05%28.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.353.333.7333.33%29.82%30.08%26.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 31.66%3.16cote équitable
EV -1.85%
Avantage -0.595%
Kelly -0.879%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.96%31.60%31.62%33.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.892.893.1037.04%34.64%34.60%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sabadell FC (Local) : 41.29% ; Oviedo (Visiteur) : 27.05% ; Match nul : 31.66%. Pour Oviedo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.70. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.73, soit une espérance positive de +0.896%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.36%EV -3.39%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.95%EV +0.896%E +0.240%K +0.328%G +0.003%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.70%EV -6.28%E -2.12%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 11:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -1.27%E -0.347%K -0.478%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -8.81%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -1.27%E -0.347%K -0.478%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -8.81%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 11:54
BetAnything🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -1.27%E -0.347%K -0.478%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -8.81%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 11:54
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 11:49
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -3.97%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 11:59
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 11:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.70%EV -7.93%E -3.56%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.74%EV -7.23%E -2.47%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 11:54
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -9.76%E -3.42%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 11:49
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -12.93%E -4.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 11:59
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.49%EV -5.45%E -2.38%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -6.41%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.05%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 11:59
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -1.85%E -0.595%K -0.879%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 11:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 11:54
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 11:59
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 11:58
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 11:58
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 11:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 11:54
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.51%E -5.37%K -8.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 11:59
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -14.51%E -5.37%K -8.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 11:59
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -8.34%E -3.76%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.38%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.38%EV -7.54%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 11:44
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -8.34%E -3.76%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -9.38%E -2.80%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.38%EV -7.54%E -2.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 11:44
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 10:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.76%E -3.42%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 11:44
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -13.30%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 11:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -10.74%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -14.51%E -5.37%K -8.54%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-20 11:54
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 11:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 11:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.09%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -8.81%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 11:41
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -13.44%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.76%E -3.42%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 11:15
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -13.44%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.76%E -3.42%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 11:14
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -13.44%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.76%E -3.42%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 11:14
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.80%EV -5.87%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -13.44%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -9.76%E -3.42%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 11:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -14.79%E -4.70%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 11:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -7.10%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -14.79%E -4.70%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 11:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -14.79%E -4.70%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-20 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.93%EV -7.93%E -3.56%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -14.79%E -4.70%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 11:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.57%EV -17.43%E -8.71%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.03%EV -14.79%E -4.70%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.41%EV -11.34%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%17.5%2026-09-20 11:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.79%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -18.85%E -6.28%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -14.51%E -5.37%K -8.54%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-20 11:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%1.3%2026-09-20 11:54
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%1.7%2026-09-20 11:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%1.7%2026-09-20 11:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%1.7%2026-09-20 11:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.33%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.88%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.79%1.7%2026-09-20 11:49
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.48%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.34%2.0%2026-09-20 11:44