Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sabadell FC v Córdoba

Kickoff: 2026-09-07 18:30 UTC

Final: Sabadell FC 3–2 Córdoba

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sabadell FC (Local)

Prediction 42.50%2.35fair odd
EV -2.26%
Edge -0.983%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.80%42.46%42.51%44.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.142.152.3051.55%46.68%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Córdoba (Visit)

Prediction 28.07%3.56fair odd
EV -0.902%
Edge -0.255%
Kelly -0.356%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.35%28.14%28.07%29.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.283.303.5332.26%30.47%30.30%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.43%3.40fair odd
EV +0.067%
Edge +0.020%
Kelly +0.028%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.83%29.40%29.42%30.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.133.153.4034.72%31.95%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sabadell FC (Local): 42.50%; Córdoba (Visit): 28.07%; Draw: 29.43%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.398. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.400, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.067%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -4.39%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV +0.067%E +0.020%K +0.028%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 18:08
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.39%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -2.88%E -0.872%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 18:15
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.91%E -4.67%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.88%E -0.872%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.91%E -4.67%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.88%E -0.872%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.91%E -4.67%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.88%E -0.872%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.91%E -4.67%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.88%E -0.872%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.91%E -4.67%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.88%E -0.872%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 17:50
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.24%E -2.35%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 18:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.76%E -5.12%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 18:05
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 18:25
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.88%E -6.29%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-07 18:05
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.25%EV -2.69%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.41%EV -0.902%E -0.255%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.33%EV -6.11%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-07 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.77%EV -7.36%E -3.38%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -6.24%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -6.41%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 18:25
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -4.39%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 18:25
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 18:05
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 18:05
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.89%EV -12.46%E -6.05%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 17:50
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.89%EV -12.46%E -6.05%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 17:50
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.89%EV -12.46%E -6.05%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 17:50
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.89%EV -12.46%E -6.05%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.28%EV -11.61%E -5.58%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 18:03
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.76%E -5.12%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.74%E -0.498%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 18:25
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 18:15
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 18:23
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 18:25
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.76%E -5.12%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -14.16%E -7.01%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -14.16%E -7.01%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -14.16%E -7.01%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -15.01%E -7.50%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-07 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -2.26%E -0.983%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -10.23%E -3.36%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -2.26%E -0.983%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -10.23%E -3.36%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 18:25
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 18:15
Bovada🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.95%EV -6.94%E -3.17%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 18:20
BetAnything🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.95%EV -6.94%E -3.17%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 18:20
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.20%EV -17.56%E -9.05%K -18.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.22%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.58%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-07 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -12.88%E -6.29%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -13.18%E -4.47%K -6.76%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-07 18:15
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.65%E -5.05%K -7.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-07 18:15
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.65%E -5.05%K -7.71%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-07 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -15.24%E -5.29%K -8.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%0.5%2026-09-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-09-07 18:25
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-09-07 18:25
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-09-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-09-07 18:25
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-09-07 18:25