Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sabadell FC v Córdoba

Início: 2026-09-07 18:30 UTC

Final: Sabadell FC 3–2 Córdoba

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sabadell FC (Local)

Previsão 42.50%2.35odd justa
EV -2.26%
Vantagem -0.983%
Kelly -1.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.80%42.46%42.51%44.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.942.142.152.3051.55%46.68%46.51%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Córdoba (Visitante)

Previsão 28.07%3.56odd justa
EV -0.902%
Vantagem -0.255%
Kelly -0.356%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.35%28.14%28.07%29.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.283.303.5332.26%30.47%30.30%28.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.43%3.40odd justa
EV +0.067%
Vantagem +0.020%
Kelly +0.028%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.83%29.40%29.42%30.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.133.153.4034.72%31.95%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sabadell FC (Local): 42.50%; Córdoba (Visitante): 28.07%; Empate: 29.43%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.398. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.400, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.067%.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -4.39%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV +0.067%E +0.020%K +0.028%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 18:08
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -4.39%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -2.88%E -0.872%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 18:15
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.91%E -4.67%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.88%E -0.872%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.91%E -4.67%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.88%E -0.872%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.91%E -4.67%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.88%E -0.872%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.91%E -4.67%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.88%E -0.872%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -9.91%E -4.67%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -3.15%E -0.912%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.88%E -0.872%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 17:50
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.52%EV -5.24%E -2.35%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-07 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-07 18:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -10.76%E -5.12%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -4.35%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-07 18:05
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.55%E -1.34%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 18:25
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -12.88%E -6.29%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -5.82%E -1.82%K -2.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-07 18:05
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.25%EV -2.69%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.41%EV -0.902%E -0.255%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.33%EV -6.11%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-07 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.77%EV -7.36%E -3.38%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -6.24%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -6.41%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-07 18:25
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -4.39%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 18:25
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 18:05
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 18:05
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.89%EV -12.46%E -6.05%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 17:50
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.89%EV -12.46%E -6.05%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 17:50
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.89%EV -12.46%E -6.05%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 17:50
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.89%EV -12.46%E -6.05%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 17:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.28%EV -11.61%E -5.58%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 18:03
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.76%E -5.12%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.74%E -0.498%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 18:25
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 18:15
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 18:23
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 18:25
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -10.76%E -5.12%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-07 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -14.16%E -7.01%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -14.16%E -7.01%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.99%EV -14.16%E -7.01%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -8.76%E -2.70%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 17:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.86%EV -15.01%E -7.50%K -15.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.30%EV -8.76%E -2.83%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-07 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -2.26%E -0.983%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -10.23%E -3.36%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 18:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -2.26%E -0.983%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -10.23%E -3.36%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 18:25
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -4.39%E -1.95%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 18:15
Bovada🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.95%EV -6.94%E -3.17%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 18:20
BetAnything🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.95%EV -6.94%E -3.17%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -5.95%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 18:20
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.51%E -2.96%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.36%E -2.23%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.20%EV -17.56%E -9.05%K -18.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.22%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.58%EV -11.71%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-07 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.63%EV -12.88%E -6.29%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.74%EV -11.57%E -3.67%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -13.18%E -4.47%K -6.76%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-07 18:15
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.65%E -5.05%K -7.71%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-07 18:15
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.97%E -4.18%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -14.65%E -5.05%K -7.71%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-07 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -8.64%E -4.02%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -10.17%E -3.18%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -15.24%E -5.29%K -8.10%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-07 18:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%0.5%2026-09-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-09-07 18:25
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-09-07 18:25
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-09-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.02%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-09-07 18:25
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.12%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.49%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-09-07 18:25